Millennials Up For Grabs?

[IceSpear]

Let's not forget that the demographic explosion of minorities skews heavily young and thus more likely to be Democratic. Minority births reached a majority in 2011 , and around 55-60% of today's under 18 group is minority. It is projected that the under 18 cohort will reach minority majority status later this decade.

The young vote will be skewing even more black and brown each election cycle , furthering their Democratic lean.

Unless the Republicans actually ... *gasp* ... reach out to minorities.

They won't. It's much easier for them to become the white party.

Race-based political parties are disgusting. Politics should be about ideas and policies. One shouldn't be forced to become a leftist or a rightist based on the genes of birth. There's something inherently racist about it. I'm still hoping against hope that there is a place for all races in both parties...

That's basically how it already is in the Deep South. GOP template for the future?

[IceSpear]

I don't think Millenials will necessarily swing to the right, but many will stay home because they won't be enthused about Hillary.

Where's your evidence for this assertion? Every poll I've seen has Hillary dominating among Millennials, both in the primary and the general election. For instance, the most recent CNN poll has her leading Romney 63-34 among 18-34 year olds, a bigger margin than Obama won them by in 2012. Seems like you're projecting based off your own personal bias here.

[IceSpear]

As a 20 year old born in 1994, I personally lean towards the growing Libertarian wing within the GOP, and I also know several other people in my age group who are also leaning in that direction. On the other hand, I live in suburban Georgia, which is currently a GOP stronghold as is.

Nationally, I agree that those born after 1993 will be more pro-GOP than the 1982 - 1992 crowd. However, the Republicans must become moderate to liberal on social issues. People in my age group are less keen about the Democrat Party's view on fiscal matters, but we're as socially liberal as those who were born in the 80's. An evangelical, socially conservative GOP cannot survive.

If the Republicans become Moderate to Liberal on social issues they could make Michigan and maybe Wisconsin competitive and even make inroads in Illinois, Connecticut, and Maine. At the same time their base in the Deep South would be very upset if the party moderated on social issues.

What are they going to do, vote Democrat?

It could decrease turnout among those groups.

It wouldn't matter because those states are locked in. Third-party, sure it's possible, but in a Presidential election they would give their votes to the Republican anyway.

It's not like only deep red states have a SoCon base though. Ohio and Florida, among others, also have a SoCon bloc. Maybe that could be made up with moderates, but it's a big risk to take.