Canadian federal election - 2015

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Liberals on the minority/majority threshold, Tory opposition, NDP in third.

Nah, NDP on the minority/majority, Liberal opposition and Tory in third.

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Nunavut, Nunavik MPs to run for re-election
The offices of Leona Aglukkaq, Romeo Saganash confirm each MP will run again in 2015

But the NDP, which has yet to announce a candidate in Nunavut, will likely have to pick up the pace this spring in order to remain as the official opposition in the House of Commons.


http://www.nunatsiaqonline.ca/stories/article/65674nunavut_nunavik_mps_to_run_for_re-election/

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Clyde River Mayor Jerry Natanine is anti-seismic testing in Baffin Bay/Davis Strait and seeks Nunavut NDP nomination
Nunavut Green candidate Spencer Rocchi
The Nunavut Liberal Association said an announcement about its candidate is expected in the next couple weeks

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/jerry-natanine-seeks-nunavut-ndp-nomination-in-federal-election-1.3135720

So if Jerry Natanine is chosen, he will be major voters by largest island Baffin region because he is from Baffin (Qikiqtaaluk) against conservative Leona Aglukkaq who is from Kitikmeot region.
Kivalliq region is likely goes Jerry Natanine but could be Jerry or Leona 50/50

there is three regions in Nunavut (Kitikmeot in West Nunavut, Kivalliq in centre and Baffin in east)

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Sad news: Former NDPer Hunter Tootoo will be seeking the Liberal nomination in Nunavut.

Oh dear! Looks like Leona will get back in because of the vote splitting (Like in 2008)

Leona Aglukkaq (Kitikmeot region)
Hunter Tootoo (Kivalliq/Keewatin region)
Jerry Natanine (Qikiqtaaluk/Baffin region, unofficial)

Kivalliq is second largest region of Nunavut, they will vote Hunter because he is FROM there. Just check election 1997 results...

[Qavvavak]

Sad news: Former NDPer Hunter Tootoo will be seeking the Liberal nomination in Nunavut.

Oh dear! Looks like Leona will get back in because of the vote splitting (Like in 2008)

Leona Aglukkaq (Kitikmeot region)
Hunter Tootoo (Kivalliq/Keewatin region)
Jerry Natanine (Qikiqtaaluk/Baffin region, unofficial)

Kivalliq is second largest region of Nunavut, they will vote Hunter because he is FROM there. Just check election 1997 results...

Will it work against Tootoo that he doesn't speak Inuktitut? Is Nunavut very tribal/regionalist in that sense (your from my area so I will vote for you, regardless of party or positions, etc)

Of course it will work that he doesnt speak Inuktitut but some Nunavummiut dont care about native languages and even any party leaders, they care about where candidates are come from (e.g. Kitikmeot, Kivalliq, Baffin)... Jerry Natanine speaks Inuktitut more than Leona Aglukkaq and Hunter Tootoo. BTW since 1979, had never been Baffin MP before... 1979-2006 MPs are originally from Kivalliq and Leona Aglukkaq is the only one from Kitikmeot region. So if Jerry Natanine wins in this Oct, he will be first Baffin MP ever.