latest Betfair odds

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Sanders is getting close to 20, has he hit that before?

Briefly, but he's benefiting from a collapse in Biden. Clinton's back where she was back in August.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Sanders has the highest implied odds in the general election, 64.5%.

Huh?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Sanders is on the rise. Buy a seat belt; he is catching up to Clinton. Don't be surprised if he gets elected in November. Get yourself ready for him; he could easily win.

Sanders and Clinton dropped by the same amount since the Debate.  Best calm down. There's a long way to go.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I find the skittishness of the GOP market so strange.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Post-South Carolina, Sanders has really collapsed in the markets.  Now below 5.

Up: Clinton, Trump, Romney
Down: Sanders, Rubio

Democrats
Clinton 95.2
Sanders 4.8

Republicans
Trump 77.5
Rubio 18.3
Cruz 2.3
Kasich 2.1
Romney 1.9
Ryan 0.5
Bush 0.3
Carson 0.2

Winning Individual
Clinton 62.1
Trump 26.3
Rubio 8.1
Sanders 2.3
Bloomberg 1.5

Poor Sanders... I'm serious. He's a good guy who believes passionately and wants the best.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Kaine well over 80 now to be the VP nominee.

Winning Individual
Clinton 70.9
Trump 28.2
Sanders 0.6
Johnson 0.3

Dem presidential nominee
Clinton 99.0
Sanders 1.0

Dem VP nominee
Kaine 87.7
Vilsack 11.6
Perez 5.3
Warren 2.6

Interesting that the bettors have Clinton at 70% after the convention and 69% before it

I would caution that this RNC is something on which elite opinion could really diverge from the general public's impression.  Think about the plagiarism issue.  There's probably ~25% of Americans for whom this is an absolute deal breaker but the other 75% who have never had exposure to professional/academic writing could probably care less.

People might not be familiar with academic practice - but they know what ripping off what someone else has done and passing it off as your own looks like.