Good idea. Hope they post this weekly
As you can see Biden led the Average Polling by 5.9 four years ago. No wonder he was competitive in all the Swing States and made Texas very close.
If Trump is tied with Biden heading into E-Day I think he wins.
This still assumes that Biden doesn't get many of the voters who disapprove of him to vote for him, even begrudgingly.
It also jumps to the conclusion that polls are either completely accurate right now or underestimating Trump's support again.
All of those things could be true, for sure. I just think we're too polarized to see that kind of Trump-friendly result, even uf he is the victor.