FL-27: Ileana Ros-Lehtinen to retire from Congress (user search)
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  FL-27: Ileana Ros-Lehtinen to retire from Congress (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-27: Ileana Ros-Lehtinen to retire from Congress  (Read 15256 times)
TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,072


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« on: April 30, 2017, 11:13:38 AM »
Well that's not good.  That district is now going to be very competitive.
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,072


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2017, 11:40:28 AM »
Quote from: Angrie on April 30, 2017, 11:25:59 AM
Quote from: TheSaint250 on April 30, 2017, 11:13:38 AM
Well that's not good.  That district is now going to be very competitive.

I think you may be overestimating the GOP's chances in a seat like this in the era of Trump.
I'm just trying to play it safe.  Who knows what will happen by 2018 and what Ros-Lehtinen's influence will be?
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,072


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #2 on: April 30, 2017, 12:10:04 PM »
Quote from: Castro on April 30, 2017, 11:58:44 AM
Sabato's Crystal Ball rating change:

Likely R --> Lean D
I feel like in my heart, it's lean D.  I just wanna be optimistic
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,072


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #3 on: April 30, 2017, 12:38:39 PM »
That could make the seat relatively competitive
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,072


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #4 on: May 04, 2017, 09:10:51 PM »
Quote from: Invisible Obama on May 04, 2017, 08:53:19 PM
Quote from: publicunofficial on May 04, 2017, 07:57:56 PM
Quote from: Invisible Obama on May 04, 2017, 07:37:12 PM
FL-25 only barely voted for Trump and that was because of the Collier County portion which is more Republican than Miami-Dade County. More likely than not it will be contested, since Democrats have a limited offense list to play from.

Take a bare Trump win and add Diaz-Balart performing at least 10 points better among hispanics and that district looks a lot less contestable.
Yeah, FL-25 is not going blue any time soon.
The presidential numbers make it contestable in a midterm election. You have to play a lot of places to win.
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