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Author Topic: Illinois Primary Results  (Read 16537 times)
Alcon
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« on: March 20, 2012, 03:59:55 PM »
sketchy.
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Alcon
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« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2012, 04:33:50 PM »
I'm just really, really skeptical of Santorum making this especially close.  It's rare that I cannot think of a single compelling argument for Santorum overperforming his polls (beyond his normal very-slight overperformance)...but I see no signs of this happening here, nor any reason why it would.

But we'll see in 2 1/2 hours I suppose.
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Alcon
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« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2012, 04:39:36 PM »
Go for it, Boris.

Also, lol @ Bill Spetrino Polling & Investments Inc. LLC
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: March 20, 2012, 07:02:28 PM »
Yes, it's Romney +10-11
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Alcon
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« Reply #4 on: March 20, 2012, 07:06:51 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on March 20, 2012, 07:03:18 PM
Last minute voters strong for Santorum and Santorum usually overperforms his exit poll results. This could be a close one...

good luck on that.
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Alcon
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« Reply #5 on: March 20, 2012, 07:07:44 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on March 20, 2012, 07:07:03 PM
Santorum lost the Catholic vote, again.

As he has been for eons.  Catholic Republicans are establishment types.  This isn't some knock to Santorum...they're just not his electorate.
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Alcon
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« Reply #6 on: March 20, 2012, 07:12:41 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on March 20, 2012, 07:11:32 PM
Quote from: Alcon on March 20, 2012, 07:07:44 PM
Quote from: J. J. on March 20, 2012, 07:07:03 PM
Santorum lost the Catholic vote, again.

As he has been for eons.  Catholic Republicans are establishment types.  This isn't some knock to Santorum...they're just not his electorate.

Mittens is winning Tea Party supporters as well.  He's losing Evangelicals but by a reduced margin.

On the other hand, Romney has absolutely crashed among those neutral to the Tea Party.  GAME CHANGER!1111
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Alcon
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« Reply #7 on: March 20, 2012, 07:19:51 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on March 20, 2012, 07:14:26 PM
Quote from: Alcon on March 20, 2012, 07:12:41 PM
Quote from: J. J. on March 20, 2012, 07:11:32 PM
Quote from: Alcon on March 20, 2012, 07:07:44 PM
Quote from: J. J. on March 20, 2012, 07:07:03 PM
Santorum lost the Catholic vote, again.

As he has been for eons.  Catholic Republicans are establishment types.  This isn't some knock to Santorum...they're just not his electorate.

Mittens is winning Tea Party supporters as well.  He's losing Evangelicals but by a reduced margin.

On the other hand, Romney has absolutely crashed among those neutral to the Tea Party.  GAME CHANGER!1111

He's only leading Santorum by 4 points there.  Wink

But if Romney should be absolutely obliterating among the neutral if he's nearly tied among supporters.  Santorum may be lagging with Catholics, but Romney certainly needs the wishy-washy, ambivalent vote to win.  It's his core base of support.
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Alcon
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« Reply #8 on: March 20, 2012, 10:45:28 PM »
Josh Putnam ‏ @FHQ  Reply  Retweet  Favorite · Open
One precinct outstanding in IL-18 and Santorum leads Romney by 88 votes for the final (4th) delegate slot. #ilprimary
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