anybody notice how in CA, the % of DTS voters (user search)
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  anybody notice how in CA, the % of DTS voters (search mode)
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Author Topic: anybody notice how in CA, the % of DTS voters  (Read 713 times)
Sbane
sbane
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« on: May 11, 2012, 01:01:35 AM »

As a DTS voter it makes sense. A lot of people in these well to do areas in the Bay Area, the beach cities, north SD and parts of OC to a certain extent are socially liberal but don't feel totally comfortable with Democrats on everything. They will maybe vote for the Democrats because they hate the Republicans more but at the same time vote no on all taxes. And in years like 2010 they might vote Republican. I didn't vote Republican in 2010 but I did vote no on all taxes.
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2012, 03:32:23 PM »

As a DTS voter it makes sense. A lot of people in these well to do areas in the Bay Area, the beach cities, north SD and parts of OC to a certain extent are socially liberal but don't feel totally comfortable with Democrats on everything. They will maybe vote for the Democrats because they hate the Republicans more but at the same time vote no on all taxes. And in years like 2010 they might vote Republican. I didn't vote Republican in 2010 but I did vote no on all taxes.

The wave sort of missed California in 2010.

If you look at the Boxer-Fiorina race, the swing back from Obama was 14 points which is the same as the nation. And the areas that swung back the most are the ones I mentioned.
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #2 on: May 11, 2012, 06:22:46 PM »

The possibility of Pete Wilson being elected went away with prop 187.....though not immediately obviously.
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #3 on: May 12, 2012, 04:57:32 AM »
« Edited: May 12, 2012, 05:00:37 AM by Senator Sbane »

As a DTS voter it makes sense. A lot of people in these well to do areas in the Bay Area, the beach cities, north SD and parts of OC to a certain extent are socially liberal but don't feel totally comfortable with Democrats on everything. They will maybe vote for the Democrats because they hate the Republicans more but at the same time vote no on all taxes. And in years like 2010 they might vote Republican. I didn't vote Republican in 2010 but I did vote no on all taxes.

The wave sort of missed California in 2010.

If you look at the Boxer-Fiorina race, the swing back from Obama was 14 points which is the same as the nation. And the areas that swung back the most are the ones I mentioned.

The Democrats picked up the governor's seat, another statewide office, and increase their members in the state Assembly to a 38 year record, and none of the 66 Democrats to go down in the House was in California. A wave may have hit California in 2010, a small Democratic one.

In the California state assembly Democrats won by 58-40 in 2008, so an under performance compared to Obama. In 2010 it went down to 54-44 but the Democrats actually gained a seat. The Sacramento area should be interesting to watch going forward....The state senate didn't change much. There was definitely a swing back to the Republicans in California in 2010, but it was not as visible in the state races since a lot of these DTS voters who voted for Obama usually vote Republican and did in the state races. In spite of the ridiculous "Obamacans" meme, the real reason why Obama almost won OC, won in wealthy north SD cities and ran up the numbers in the beach cities, Silicon Valley and the inland east bay is due to these DTS voters. Of course this is not to say there aren't a lot of DTS voters elsewhere (as the correlation provided above proves) but in these areas you have a lot of former Republicans/ leaners hanging about and there is a slight correlation between these wealthier areas and higher DTS registration.
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