VA Senate 2018

[edtorres04]

I think it might be early for Taylor, but he seems to have a solid resume.  I don't think Kaine is very vulnerable in any case.

[Young Conservative]

Out of this list , Definitely the experienced, Washington Post endorsed Representative from NOVA

[Figueira]

I went with Comstock; she seems to be good at pretending to be a moderate. Kaine should win though unless it's a bad year for Democrats.

[NeverAgain]

Comstock. She'll probably run, considering she'll be crushed in her own district in 2018.

[edtorres04]

As far as Comstock goes, I don't see what is appealing about her other than geography.

[Pericles]

I hear Fiorina has also been floated to run there.

[Figueira]

I hear Fiorina has also been floated to run there.

And she would be an awful candidate.

[MT Treasurer]

Comstock. She'll probably run, considering she'll be crushed in her own district in 2018.

Don't make confident predictions at this point.

That being said, this race is at least likely D (and probably closer to Safe D).

[DavidB.]

Comstock. She'll probably run, considering she'll be crushed in her own district in 2018.

Don't make confident predictions at this point.

That being said, this race is at least likely D (and probably closer to Safe D).

That's what Mark Warner thought. Not buying it. Lean D, for now.

[Nyvin]

Hasn't Comstock always had pretty close elections?   I don't think she's really a rising star or anything.   

[Heisenberg]

Hasn't Comstock always had pretty close elections?   I don't think she's really a rising star or anything.   

She won last year by 6, while Clinton and Kaine won it comfortably. VA-10 was certainly expected to be much closer.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Comstock definitely, but she's probably better off defending her seat. I don't think anyone's beating Kaine this year.

[Nyvin]

Hasn't Comstock always had pretty close elections?   I don't think she's really a rising star or anything.   

She won last year by 6, while Clinton and Kaine won it comfortably. VA-10 was certainly expected to be much closer.

Winning by 6 still isn't that impressive.   I think it'd be a waste to send her to the Senate race,  she wouldn't be all that good of a candidate.

[Xing]

Comstock. She'll probably run, considering she'll be crushed in her own district in 2018.

Don't make confident predictions at this point.

That being said, this race is at least likely D (and probably closer to Safe D).

That's what Mark Warner thought. Not buying it. Lean D, for now.

I mean, if 2018 is as bad for Democrats as 2014, I expect Kaine to be vulnerable, but I doubt it will be (not saying it can't be, but I have my reasons for thinking it's unlikely.)

Comstock would probably be the best person to challenge him, but in a neutral year, Kaine would be heavily favored.

[Figueira]

Hasn't Comstock always had pretty close elections?   I don't think she's really a rising star or anything.   

She won last year by 6, while Clinton and Kaine won it comfortably. VA-10 was certainly expected to be much closer.

All the Virginia House Republicans massively overperformed Trump (except one IIRC) so I doubt that was purely a result of Comstock being an amazing candidate.

[SATW]

Why is Scott Taylor listed as ex-NAVY Seal only, he's a member of congress now lol. Either way, he won't run, it's his first term in Congress.

Comstock would be a solid candidate, but there are some concerns about how strong of a campaigner she is.

I'd prefer Eric Cantor running, though. I think he could pull off a major comeback.

[Heisenberg]

Cantor ruled out a 2018 bid.

[SATW]

Cantor ruled out a 2018 bid.