Forget about Wisconsin, there's a much more important election this Tuesday! (user search)
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  Forget about Wisconsin, there's a much more important election this Tuesday! (search mode)
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Author Topic: Forget about Wisconsin, there's a much more important election this Tuesday!  (Read 7323 times)
muon2
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« on: June 06, 2012, 09:08:49 AM »

And here gentlemen is the biggest upset of the night going away. The Pubs win a Dem leaning/weak safe seat 5 months early (it's a jungle primary, so 2 Pubs will run against each other in November)! It has a Dem PVI of around 4%. I am in shock. Thank you. Smiley

And the two Republicans got >50%, so it's not as if split Dem opposition was the only reason. Was it low turnout among Dems for a primary? If so, that's going to kill us again and again in CA in this kind of case.

In turnout-dependent areas a jungle primary can really hurt the low-turnout party. This is particularly true if the other party puts up two credible candidates and the other party has multiple candidates. If the Dems want to win this type of district they are going to have to rally around a single candidate early to make sure they can get through the primary.
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