Feb. 9th primaries & caucuses--Dem. results thread

[agcatter]

My guess is that the Clinton campaign can't be happy.  I'd guess they lost a net 10 delegates today more than they thought they'd lose.  I even heard CNN say it was far more lopsided than most thought it would be.  When the Clinton News Network concedes it was a blowout, you know it was a brutal night.

[agcatter]

There projections down the road look very reasonable except I'm not sure they can come quite as close as the 5 pt, losses they are projecting in the big states of Ohio, Texas, and Pennsylvania.  If they DO manage to run that well in those states, Obama could just pull this off.

[agcatter]

Funny how they underprojected their Louisiana vote yet greatly overestimated their Louisiana delegate haul.  That's way weird.

[agcatter]

I didn't notice their Potomac projections.  Absolutely right, they should exceed their projections in those three primaries easily.  However, they may be a bit optimistic in Wisconsin and maybe NC.

[agcatter]

Obama's one ace in the hole in Texas is that 35 or 40 % of the delegates are chosen in a night caucus the day of the election.  If he can organize well.....

[agcatter]

Yeah, I thought Wolf was going to cry.

[agcatter]

Texas is an open primary.  There will be some Republicans (along with some independents)who will cross over and vote for Obama if they think this will help put a fork in the Clintons.  Why not.  There's no race left on the GOP side.