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[If this operation had been done quickly and the US didn't apply pressure, we would probably be in the post-war stage right now.]

If she meant Hamas, great!

She obviously did. She wants the operation in Rafah to be done quickly. Also frankly, the longer this drags out, the more people will die. If this operation had been done quickly and the US didn't apply pressure, we would probably be in the post-war stage right now.

LOL. Imagine unironically thinking Bibi would even allow that to happen

Israel just announced today an end date of the end of December. Had the US and Europe been fully supportive throughout, it would not have taken this long.

They really wouldn’t need to do anything. Woo strong candidates that could conceivably win tough Senate races (Laura Kelly, Rob Sand, Mary Peltola), but the House would easily flip (or stay) Dem, and NC and ME should be relatively easy Dem gains. Dems probably expand theie governorships by a couple too.

Key point - it will come down the corroborating evidence, which there is quite a bit of

This is very good for Trump.
Key parts of Cohen's testimony are not corroborated by any other evidence.
The most important part is Cohen's testimony that Trump told him to fix it and knew about it all the time.

On the contrary, there was a boatload of corroborating evidence.  This is wishcasting.

What is the corroborating evidence that Trump knew about the meeting between Cohen and Weisselberg?

They need corroborating evidence tending to connect the defendant to the charged crime, not of each & every individual aspect of an accomplice's testimony.

The charged crime requires that Trump knew of the agreement between Wesselberg and Cohen and knew that before the election. Therefore, Trumps participation in Cohen's scheme before the election is key to establishing guilt in this case.

We all know that. You're talking past us now. You're the only one who, for some reason, seems to think that means the jurors need to be shown physical corroboration of everything Cohen testified to in order for his credibility to remain legally sufficient enough to sustain a conviction; no, they just need corroborating evidence connecting the defendant to the charged crime that may or may not assist in sustaining the accomplice-witness' credibility with the jury. You're acting like Cohen was the prosecution's only witness & not 1 of 20.

He was the only witness establishing the key facts.
Without him there is no proof Trump knew about the payments to Stormy Daniels before the election.

Correct, & it is now up to the jury to apply the full picture to determine whether or not they believe that, as a matter of fact, Michael Cohen credibly told them the truth. Crucially, in order to apply the full picture, they first have to be given a full picture to apply, which you seem to fail to understand is mutually exclusive from Michael Cohen's credibility being the prosecution's only basis here.

No updates in a while - are they on lunch?

Deliberating for just a little bit over 90 mins. now.

The online right wing is erupting over a contention that the jury doesn't have to be unanimous to find Trump guilty, following a misleading tweet from Fox's John Roberts to that effect.  He later corrected it to confirm that they do have to be unanimous that Trump committed the crime of falsifying business records, but they don't have to be unanimous about which underlying crime it was in support of (which is what elevates it to a felony).  But it's too late, the damage is done.

The wording of that tweet & duration of time in between corrections…

https://twitter.com/johnrobertsfox/status/1795830647719932058https://twitter.com/johnrobertsfox/status/1795835934694650283https://twitter.com/johnrobertsfox/status/1795848224470700242
No doubt he knew exactly what he was doing!

Marco Rubio is now running with this. This will now be gospel on the MAGA right regardless for the truth.

Most hold out jurors are not Henry Fonda, most will break under peer pressure in the jury room, especially when most of them just want it to be done.

Also recall that even Fonda (or Jack Lemmon if you prefer that version) was willing to stop being a holdout and vote guilty if everyone else would agree to vote guilty under a secret vote (and then Juror #9, McCardle, voted NG because Fonda's character had the guts to stand alone).

He's absolutely right there's a Cultural Revolution-like element to this. And that is bad.
I'm still voting Biden though.

Are you concerned there won't be enough people brave enough to serve as Confederate re-enactors on the 200th anniversary of the American Civil War once the dust settles, and the anti-Lost Cause Movement has triumphed utterly? 

I think we've replaced one wrongful dogma with another equally wrongful dogma.
I prefer what Thomas Sewell has said over both.
Everything I see in the anti Confederate statue movement makes me want to side against it. American Red Guards. They don't understand history. They don't stop at Lee or Jackson. They went after Lincoln and Washington too. They want to rebuild our civic ethos from the ground up. Sorry, I'm not up for that. Give them an inch they'll go a mile.
Year Zero. That's what the idea is.

History repeats itself. The woke mob was also responsible for renaming all these streets. Such disrespect for history is disturbing.

So you think that our Founding Fathers are on par with Hitler?

Why are you making this about the founding fathers when RFK is talking about Confederate statues? There is a big difference between the two and I would hope most would see why it's appropriate to take down one and not the other. Yes there are some extremists who will equate the two but that doesn't mean you then have to take the equally misguided position that the monuments to the Confederacy deserve saving.

No updates in a while - are they on lunch?

[IF]

Trump team increasingly sees acquittal as unlikely, sees their only path through hung jury.

They seem to think 1 juror may be on their side. Hard to tell if it's just desperate spin at this point though

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/1795563214308082144

Having your ”face light up” at the sight of JD Vance is not something a normal person does. Also “reacting favorably” to seeing Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, a first term Congresswoman literally no one knows? IF this reporting is accurate, it’s going to be a hung jury.

Anna Paulina Luna is literally a former model. I could easily imagine a male juror "reacting favorably" to seeing her for non-political reasons.

Sure, but I wouldn’t say the same about Vance or Donalds. Hope this doesn’t screw things up because the case seems solid enough for the other 11.

I don't think James will have much an issue this year with Trump likely to win the district again. 2022 was close because Democrats dominated upballot.

I think James is one of the first Republicans to lose in 2026 though if Trump is in the White House.

Part of what I don't understand is why Dems didn't spend more against James here in 2022? As soon as it became clear Whitmer was pretty heavily favored in the Governor's race, it was pretty clear that she would carry this district at the top of the ticket. Additionally, James lost this district in his 2020 Senate bid despite outrunning Trump statewide. Bailing on this race in 2022 was a mistake for Dems imo.

Maybe my memory is incorrect, but wasn’t there a polling mirage where Dixon was perceived to be closing the gap? Obviously those polls ended up total bullsh**t and Whitmer won by even more than she did in 2018. Had Dems known it was going to be a better year than even 2018, I imagine they would’ve invested.

Pat Cullen, the semi-notable leader of the British nurses union is likely to stand for Sinn Fein in Fermanagh and South Tyrone. Quite why she go from a position of influence (especially with a change of government imminent) to standing on a policy of doing nothing is unclear.