MA Senate - Special Election Results thread

[ajc0918]

Why isn't Brown giving a speech about what he wants to accomplish in DC?  

Because he's done that the past 4 months.

[KenDB]

Quick calculations based on 98% reporting:  These are by no means official and are rough calculations.

CD-01 - Coakley 50-48
CD-02 - Brown 57-42
CD-03 - Brown 57-42
CD-04 - Brown 50-49 (could easily change)
CD-05 - Brown 56-43
CD-06 - Brown 57-42
CD-07 - Coakley 53-46
CD-08 - Coakley 76-23
CD-09 - Brown 54-45
CD-10 - Brown 59-40

[Meeker]

Why isn't Brown giving a speech about what he wants to accomplish in DC?  

Probably because he knows he won't accomplish anything.

[Torie]

Neither has North Attleborough. Wasn't this Joe Martin's home town? or was that Attleborough itself?

I don't know, but it has a 12% GOP pvi.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Folks - take a second to study those Clinton-Obama 2008 numbers and this election and tell me what you see....  I know Al already sees it.

Democrats had better pay attention. 

Clintonistas bailed in large numbers?  That is hardly shocking.

Working-class revolt centered against those in power.

Yep, I see it too.  Penn is gonna be a real shock next year.  I can see the entire western half rolling Toomeys way. 

Look for Alleghenny and Lackawwana to be like Worcestor(52-47 Dem) surronded by a sea of 60% Repub counties.

[Sam Spade]

Folks - take a second to study those Clinton-Obama 2008 numbers and this election and tell me what you see....  I know Al already sees it.

Democrats had better pay attention. 

Clintonistas bailed in large numbers?  That is hardly shocking.

Working-class revolt centered against those in power.

It will take some work to see the differential swings to see just who "revolted" the most, and by how much. What we do know, is that academic areas, and rich liberal areas, hardly revolted at all vis a vis Obama.  Some, but not much, relatively speaking, as to the rich liberal areas.

I'm not surprised either.  Are you?

But when a Republican candidate wins Bristol by 10, alarm bells start going off.  Maybe this is just Coakley.  But I wouldn't bet on it.

[Eraserhead]

Why isn't Brown giving a speech about what he wants to accomplish in DC?  

Because he isn't going to accomplish anything in DC.

[ajc0918]

Why isn't Brown giving a speech about what he wants to accomplish in DC?  

Because he isn't going to accomplish anything in DC.

Just go to bed already, and while your at it, sleep till 2011.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Quick calculations based on 98% reporting:  These are by no means official and are rough calculations.

CD-01 - Coakley 50-48
CD-02 - Brown 57-42
CD-03 - Brown 57-42
CD-04 - Brown 50-49 (could easily change)
CD-05 - Brown 56-43
CD-06 - Brown 57-42
CD-07 - Coakley 53-46
CD-08 - Coakley 76-23
CD-09 - Brown 54-45
CD-10 - Brown 59-40

To bay the MA-05 special didn't happen tonight instead of during 2007.

[Eraserhead]

Why isn't Brown giving a speech about what he wants to accomplish in DC?  

Because he isn't going to accomplish anything in DC.

Just go to bed already, and while your at it, sleep till 2011.

No.

[cinyc]

Working-class revolt centered against those in power.

With Bristol and Worcester Counties having the biggest swings from Romney's numbers - yup.

Did the 18-29s show up at the polls today?  Cambridge wasn't fully in the last time I downloaded the data, but judging from turnout in the towns with the most 18-29s, nope:



How about Seniors?  Always:

[Meeker]

Why isn't Brown giving a speech about what he wants to accomplish in DC? 

Because he isn't going to accomplish anything in DC.

Just go to bed already, and while your at it, sleep till 2011.

You do understand that all you've done is delay anything we want to do. You guys still have no power whatsoever.

[Sam Spade]

Cambridge: 27,268 Coakley, 4,921 Brown

[KenDB]

Quick calculations based on 98% reporting:  These are by no means official and are rough calculations.

CD-01 - Coakley 50-48
CD-02 - Brown 57-42
CD-03 - Brown 57-42
CD-04 - Brown 50-49 (could easily change)
CD-05 - Brown 56-43
CD-06 - Brown 57-42
CD-07 - Coakley 53-46
CD-08 - Coakley 76-23
CD-09 - Brown 54-45
CD-10 - Brown 59-40

CD-08 now looks more more like 78-21 Coakley.

[ajc0918]

Why isn't Brown giving a speech about what he wants to accomplish in DC? 

Because he isn't going to accomplish anything in DC.

Just go to bed already, and while your at it, sleep till 2011.

You do understand that all you've done is delay anything we want to do. You guys still have no power whatsoever.

Oh good, you're still to blame. See ya in November.

[Torie]

Cambridge   33/33   
84%   27,268
15% 4,921
1%   232
 

And now the Obama numbers:

40,876    88%
4,697    10%

So next to no revolt in Cambridge.  I don't know how the turnout decline compares to the statewide decline from 2008.  Cinyc?

[ajc0918]

Cambridge   33/33   
84%   27,268
15% 4,921
1%   232

That's a slaughterhouse.

[Vepres]

The red avatar's reaction to this is amusing in a pathetic sort of way (not to be condescending )

[Torie]

The red avatar's reaction to this is amusing in a pathetic sort of way (not to be condescending )

I did not pick up that at all here.  Most everyone has been quite polite and well within bounds.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

The red avatar's reaction to this is amusing in a pathetic sort of way (not to be condescending )

Obnoxious Liberals are like that.

[J. J.]

A Republican tidal wave is rolling across America

Virginia

New Jersey

MASSACHUSETTS

Next.....

2010

Not in New York though.

No, there it was the tea bagger that made the splash. 

Yeah, and lost a district that had been Republican since the Civil War. What a splash!

A majority didn't vote for the Democrat (Happy Alcon).

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

North Attleborough came in finally 71-28 for Brown. Paxton is still out.

[redcommander]

I still am in awe he won. I mean I expected in the past few days for him to win, but I didn't fully grasp what he accomplished till tonight. I especially liked his victory speech. He threw his personal touch in without sounding too political. The commentary on MSNBC is too funny. First they show depressed Coakley supporters getting drunk from the loss, and now Maddow is going on making fun of the campaign tactics and chants of Brown and his supporters. Can't wait till November

[ajc0918]

I still am in awe he won. I mean I expected in the past few days for him to win, but I didn't fully grasp what he accomplished till tonight. I especially liked his victory speech. He threw his personal touch in without sounding too political. The commentary on MSNBC is too funny. First they show depressed Coakley supporters getting drunk from the loss, and now Maddow is going on making fun of the campaign tactics and chants of Brown and his supporters. Can't wait till November

I agree with everything.

[cinyc]

Cambridge   33/33   
84%   27,268
15% 4,921
1%   232
 

And now the Obama numbers:

40,876    88%
4,697    10%

So next to no revolt in Cambridge.  I don't know how the turnout decline compares to the statewide decline from 2008.  Cinyc?

I have to double-check the math on my turnout data to make sure it's doing what it's supposed to when all precincts are in.  And there's a caveat - I'm using the 2008 voter rolls for both elections because that's all Mass had available.

With that in mind, Cambridge turnout was about 70% in the 2008 unofficial data - and about 50% today (though the Globe says 54%).  That's a 20-point decline, compared to about 19-points statewide.  

Cambridge had one of the better turnouts for an 18-29 town.  Turnout in Amherst was terrrible - down 26 points from 2008 in my data.  The Globe has Amherst at 47% - which is still pathetic.  Amherst is the most 18-29 town in the state.