MA Senate - Special Election Results thread

[Sam Spade]

Atlas MA Special Election Result Page



http://www.boston.com/news/special/politics/2010/senate/results.html

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2010/by_county/MA_Page_0119.html?SITE=AP

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2010/by_state/MA_Page_0119.html?SITE=AP

More to be posted later, maybe....

Thread will be stickied for tonight also.

Special election discussion thread will be reopened in a day or two.

Enjoy!

Sincerely,
Moderating Team

[Sam Spade]

Noting that the AP link no worky- so boston.com is probably best for now.

[Sam Spade]

Just FYI - Coakley's fraud alert thing was dated yesterday. (lol)

[Sam Spade]

Noting that the AP link no worky- so boston.com is probably best for now.

You have to append ?SITE=AP to the AP URL to get it to work, thus.

Thanks.

[Sam Spade]

Hey I forgot the most important question of ALL!!!

Who did DAVE LEIP vote for?

(doesn't he live in Mass or something) 

[Sam Spade]

I know Lunar - just being obnoxious.

[Sam Spade]

exit polls = crap

[Sam Spade]

A quick glance appears to indicate Brown outperforming (even Romney) in the working-class (or formerly working-class) areas and the suburbs.  Coakley appears to be holding up well in the cities and rich liberal areas.  I can see Whouley at work here - question is "is it enough"?

[Sam Spade]

At quicker glance - agree with Moderate and Dan - turnout and margins are just going to have to be greater in the cities/liberal bastions for Coakley to have a shot IMHO.

[Sam Spade]

About a fifth of Lynn is in and Coakley only leads there by 3%.

A place where Patrick had a 2-1 advantage on Healey.

O'Brien won it by 5% in 2002.  Al pays attention to it because, well... you know.

[Sam Spade]

Al - with 6/14 precincts in, Coakley only leads by six in Holyoke (just to give something you might miss).

With those types of margins from working-class Mass and what's already been noted from suburban Mass, Coakley better have some magic tricks somwhere - otherwise...

[Sam Spade]

Holyoke - Coakley won by 12 Al.  May still be some hope for her, though that is worse than any Dem ever.

[Sam Spade]

My preliminary guess is Brown by 5-8, but I need to see more cities before solidifying.

[Sam Spade]

Holyoke - Coakley won by 12 Al.  May still be some hope for her, though that is worse than any Dem ever.

Fall River is all in. Coakley 57%, Brown 41%. Meanwhile, Coakley lost Achushnet - which went over 60% for O'Brien. Brünnhilde is burning.

The Fall River result is as weak as Cellucci v. Harshberger.  And Achushnet - it's never been worse there.

It's over.

[Sam Spade]

Lynn - Coakley 53, Brown 47.  All precincts in.

[Sam Spade]

Ok, now I am getting convinced. Brown seems to be pulling it.

Though, an interesting sideline: have you noticed the Western part of the state?

Yes - it's called the Berkshires.  Fascinating class voting patterns but pretty Democratic (even with Coakley)

[Sam Spade]

WOW! I cannot believe what I'm seeing/hearing on the news

Have you been asleep for the past couple of weeks?

[Sam Spade]

How the hell do you write a concession speech for a night like this?

I fucked up.  And so did the rest of you'se. 

[Sam Spade]

Really good polls by PPP, ARG and Suffolk.

Not so good polls by Rasmussen (exit polls do not count !), CrossTarget, MRG, R2000 and InsiderAdvantage.

Rasmussen was a real pussy for not doing another poll.

[Sam Spade]

Democrats still seem not to get what's going on.

Republicans don't either, of course (at least not what I see), but Scott Brown is benefitting from Democrats in this particular situation.

Just IMO.

[Sam Spade]

Democrats still seem not to get what's going on.

Republicans don't either, of course (at least not what I see), but Scott Brown is benefitting from Democrats in this particular situation.

Just IMO.

go on...

I'll post more later.  Go see some of my threads with Beet.



(ah, I see, Meeker already beat me)

I am being serious though - Dems have misunderstood what 2008 actually meant.

[Sam Spade]

Worchester Coakley 52, Brown 47

Collapse in working-class Mass is something to behold really.

[Sam Spade]

Well they came off the ganja break and brown won Lowell 52-47.

Er... wow.

Agreed.

[Sam Spade]

Worchester Coakley 52, Brown 47

Collapse in working-class Mass is something to behold really.

To add to that (and everything else so far), Brown's margin in Bristol county is close to 10pts.

I wonder if this means the peasants are not happy. 

[Sam Spade]

Folks - take a second to study those Clinton-Obama 2008 numbers and this election and tell me what you see....  I know Al already sees it.

Democrats had better pay attention.