VA-Roanoke: Sanders mops the floor with GOPers, Clinton only ties Rubio/Cruz (user search)
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  VA-Roanoke: Sanders mops the floor with GOPers, Clinton only ties Rubio/Cruz (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-Roanoke: Sanders mops the floor with GOPers, Clinton only ties Rubio/Cruz  (Read 3380 times)
HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« on: February 04, 2016, 09:11:56 AM »

Pretty sure a 3 point lead is not a tie.
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HillOfANight
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #1 on: February 04, 2016, 10:50:36 AM »

Pretty sure a 3 point lead is not a tie.

It's a statistical tie because it's well within the margin of error (4.3%).

http://blogs.wsj.com/numbers/whats-a-statistical-tie-anyway-234/
http://www.tooclosetocall.ca/2015/09/within-margin-of-error-doesnt-mean-what.html
https://faculty.elgin.edu/dkernler/statistics/ch09/9-1.html



Statistical tie is an abuse of statistics. More likely than not if this poll were reran, Hillary would still lead. Of course if it was a bigger sample, we could be more sure that Hillary was leading.

Anyway you cut it, Virginia is a lost cause for the GOP.
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