US House Redistricting: New York

[krazen1211]

Bob Turner tosses in for NY Senate...hope he has fun.

[krazen1211]

Democratic bickering seems to be preventing a deal.

http://blogs.buffalonews.com/politics_now/2012/03/silver-dismisses-idea-of-congressional-redistricting-deal.html

Senate Majority Leader Dean Skelos late this afternoon said he wants to negotiate a congressional deal with Silver, but that the Assembly leader has “internal political problems.’’ He said those problems involve a battle between three Democratic county chairman – the leaders of the party organizations in Manhattan, Queens and the Bronx.



Yep. At a guess Skelos is fairly content with the Upstate and Long Island lines, while Silver can't figure out how do deal with Rangel, the Latinos, and everyone else bickering.

[krazen1211]

http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dailypolitics/2012/03/breaking-news-deals-near-on-everything-updatedx3

BREAKING NEWS: Deals Near On Everything

[krazen1211]

http://atr.rollcall.com/new-york-gary-ackerman-to-retire/

Longtime New York Democratic Rep. Gary Ackerman will retire at the end of the 112th Congress, he announced tonight.



Crowley elbowed Ackerman out.

[krazen1211]

http://atr.rollcall.com/new-york-gary-ackerman-to-retire/

Longtime New York Democratic Rep. Gary Ackerman will retire at the end of the 112th Congress, he announced tonight.



Crowley elbowed Ackerman out.

One would have thought Ackerman would have been competitive. Crowley gets a lot of new territory too. I'm surprised. Is that just because I don't know enough on this one? 

Joe Crowley is the Queens Democratic Party chairman, and the 6th district lies wholly within Queens.

[krazen1211]

http://atr.rollcall.com/new-york-gary-ackerman-to-retire/

Longtime New York Democratic Rep. Gary Ackerman will retire at the end of the 112th Congress, he announced tonight.



Crowley elbowed Ackerman out.

http://www.cityandstateny.com/lancman-mix-crowley-ny-6/

Crowley is running in the 14th, not the 6th.

Very interesting. I guess then the idea that Crowley wanted a district with less Hispanics is not really as true as was indicated.

[krazen1211]

I'm surprised most Dems here seem to be a bit disappointed. I'm not too worried about the LI Dems and every upstate freshman GOPer's CD moves in our direction except Hanna (the most moderate). I am disappointed about Ackerman and Hinchey retiring, but that won't affect partisan balance.

BTW, wondering based on NY Jew's posts--what would a packed Jewish GOP CD look like, and a packed Jewish Dem CD?

http://www.politicker.com/2012/03/05/orthodox-jewish-group-pushes-court-for-new-congrressional-district/

[krazen1211]

5 districts? NY Jew, have you seen what they did to Austin?

A better example is Will County, Illinois, which has the distinction of being chopped into 6 districts. I think that might be a record!

[krazen1211]

Ok, I was wrong in thinking that restoring Slaughter's district to Monroe only was painless for Dems. Too many Dems disagree.

But why are they that worried. With a D+6 the district looks secure on paper. If the problem is Slaughter, then that's an internal issue for the Dems.

It was a case of too many cooks spoiling the broth.

[krazen1211]

Does anyone have a close up comparison between Slaughter's 1988 district and the 2012 district and how much additional territory is in the current one?

[krazen1211]

Yeah I have the 1992 district.

http://www.latfor.state.ny.us/maps/1992cong/c028.pdf

This is a 62% Obama district today that has ~598k people; it had ~580k in 1992.

http://tinypic.com/r/2n1evjc/5


Teal is the 1992 district, grey is the territory added to form the 2012 district. That territory is 51% McCain.

[krazen1211]

http://www.nypost.com/p/news/local/brooklyn/gop_dem_olition_man_in_senate_IKWFk2lNIO5jUoqYK9KkwN

Some key Senate Democrats, shocked by the apparent victory of Republican David Storobin in last week’s special election in Brooklyn, are privately conceding they have little chance of retaking control of the Senate in November.