Recent Posts

Show posts from buddies only

I don't understand why he had to say anything about this at all.  It may be true that they are not "equivalent", but what does that matter?  It's not like you decline to prosecute someone of one murder because someone else has murdered twenty people.

Biden's best hope at triangulation in this conflict is expressing general support for Israel but opposition to the Netanyahu regime, and this completely undermines that.

And just in general, I would like to see the US be much more active and compliant in ICC efforts to combat human rights abuses.

I presume the strategy is that it's further leverage to be applied on Bibi: Washington will shelter him and his officials from prosecution if he plays ball on not continuing to be a flaming moron by treating the PA like dirt.

There ate two interesting parts of the indictment. A) Gantz is not indicted presumably because the ICC, like the rest of the international order, want Likud and its allies to be the sin sponges and Gantz to be untainted. B) Haniyeh is indicted despite the fact he probably can't be linked with October unless they have a crazy smoking gun.

That’s all true but it’s not like this is the first time the Conservatives have been riding high in BC federally. The Tories did very well in BC during the time of the 2005, 2009 and 2013 BC elections and the BC Liberals were led at the time by people who were very rightwing but who had strong federal Liberal pedigrees like Gordon Campbell and Christy Clark. Ironically, Kevin Falcon is the first federal Conservative to become leader of the B.C. Liberals and its under his leadership that that party is collapsing at the expense of the BC Conservatives

*Federal Liberals calling themselves Liberals*

Right-wing British Columbians: "Long live Campbellism-Clarkism-Jonathan Wilkinson thought!"

*Federal Conservative not even pretending to be a Liberal*

Right-wing British Columbians: "Get lost you LIBERAL"

Fun

Something else:

Netanyahu threw the election to Trump

and/or

Democrats should never condone genocide ever again anymore and take working class people / students / minority voters for granted.

I’m convinced this is the same sample of voters each week

I would be careful about reading overmuch into any single poll and so on, though we can note that it's significant that figures like that can be produced.

If he were to win in 2024 and term limits only applied to consecutive terms, any of the potential Democratic candidates like Whitmer, Moore, Warnock or Beshear would clobber him in the landslide we thought 2020 would be.

If Ds lose this Eday they deserve a 3 term Trump but 20 wasn't a landslide because Biden scandal came out on sex abuse and Hunter

Whitmer isn't going to be the Nominee or Harris stop playing it's gonna be Newsom

He might get bigger swings with some states' blacks than others. The thing to look for is where the AAs in a state are more non-college and low income, I'm not sure yet if there's an urban/rural difference. The Democratic vote is so high with them everywhere but perhaps in some states there is more vote to lose than in others.

I suspect this would be states with larger proportions of rural Afro-Americans and states with a worse educational system than others and institutional racism in its history, which would typically be the south.

Georgia, Mississippi, South Carolina, North Carolina, Louisiana, Alabama, Florida, maybe Virginia (?)

Way back in 2016, when all polling, prognostics by pundits and overall political climate point out to a Clinton blowout, I already knew she was in trouble early in the night when the margins in rural Kentucky and Indiana where lopsided for Trump. That was all confirned when Ohio was called before states in the west coast closed at 11PM EST and the margin was almost 10% when just the day before a columbus dispatch (gold standard for Ohio) showed a 1% Clinton edge.

This^ if the numbers in Indiana look closer to 2016 than 2020, while not definitive, that probably indicates bad news for Biden.

I mean this isn't talking about one county, or 1-2% but if Biden is consistently doing 3-4% worse across the board, and, say IN-01 is going R or is TCTC that is a good sign for Trump.

I know the judge said he doesn't want deliberations being disrupted by the long weekend, so if the defense rests their case either today or tomorrow, will court be recessed for the rest of the week?