U.S. House Redistricting: Illinois (user search)

Dgov
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,558

« on: February 28, 2011, 11:53:15 PM »

how does Peter Roskam get elected? Someone with an ACU of 98 shouldn't be able to survive in an EVEN district.

It's more Republican than the PVI would indicate. Republicans heavily control all local offices there.

And it would probably have a more Republican PVI, but Obama won 57% there in 2008, which pushed the numbers left. Its more like an R + 3 district.

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Dgov
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,558

« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2011, 10:08:33 PM »

So, best-case scenario? 13-5 Dem delegation.

Best case for Republicans?

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Dgov
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,558

« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2011, 10:31:08 AM »

So, best-case scenario? 13-5 Dem delegation.

Best case for Republicans?

10-8 Republican, but that's assuming they can hold all the seats that are made more Democratic (IL-06, 10, 14, 15, and 17).

Oh, sorry, I was asking if that previous figure was the best case for Republicans, because 13-5 seems kind of low for a Democrat-Tendril gerrymander

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