My final predictions

[Peter]

Broken down by Region, with highlights only; If it ain't listed, its a hold for the incumbent party.

Wales[/u]

2001 Composition:
Labour 34
Plaid 4
Lib Dem 2
Conservative 0

Brecon and Radnorshire - CON gain from LD
Carmathen East & Dinefwr - PC hold
Ceredigon - PC hold
Preseli Pembrokeshire - LAB hold

Clwyd West - CON gain from LAB
Vale of Clwd - LAB hold
Ynys Mon - PC gain from LAB

Blaenau Gwent - LAB hold
Monmouth - CON gain from LAB

Cardiff Central - LD gain from LAB
Vale of Glamorgan - LAB hold

New composition:
Labour - 30
Plaid - 5
Conservative - 3
Lib Dem - 2

[Peter]

North East England[/u]

2001 Composition:
Labour 28
Conservative 1
Lib Dem 1

Tynemouth - LD gain from LAB
Blaydon - LAB hold
NUT Central - LAB hold
<jk>Sedgefield - IND gain from LAB</jk>

New Composition
Labour 27
Lib Dem 2
Conservative 1


North West England[/u]

2001 Composition:
Labour - 64
Conservative - 9
Lib Dem - 3

Westmorland & Lonsdale - CON hold

Cheadle - LD hold
Oldham East & Saddleworth - LD gain from LAB
Pendle - LAB hold
Rochdale - LD gain (back) from LAB

Lancaster & Wyre - CON gain from LAB
Ribble South - LAB hold

Wirral South - CON gain from LAB

New Composition:
Labour - 60
Conservative - 11
Lib Dem - 5

[minionofmidas]

Good. I'll hold you to these. Tynemouth? What makes you think so?

[Peter]

Yorkshire & The Humber[/u]

2001 Composition:
Labour 47
Conservative 7
Lib Dem 2

Haltemprice & Howden - CON hold
Hull East - FAT hold

Selby - CON gain from LAB

Calder Valley - CON gain from LAB
Colne Valley - LD gain from LAB (CON remain second placing LAB third)
Dewsbury - LAB hold; BNP third
Elmet - LAB hold
Keighley - LAB hold; BNP third
Leeds NW - LD gain from LAB; CON remain second placing LAB third.
Leeds West - LAB hold; Greens second
Pudsey - LAB hold
Shipley - CON gain from LAB

New Composition:
Labour - 42
Conservative - 10
Lib Dem - 4


West Midlands[/u]

2001 Composition:
Labour - 43
Conservative - 13
Lib Dem - 2
Independent - 1

Birmingham Perry Barr - LAB hold
Birmingham Yardley - LD gain from LAB

Redditch - CON gain from LAB
Wyre Forest - IND hold

Shrewsbury & Atcham - LD gain from LAB
The Wrekin - CON gain from LAB

Burton - CON gain from LAB
Stafford - LAB hold
Staffordshire Moorlands - LAB hold
Tamworth - LAB hold

Rugby & Kenilworth - CON gain from LAB
Solihull - LD gain from CON (and the surprise of the night)

Stourbridge - CON gain from LAB
Wolverhampton SW - CON gain from LAB

New Composition:
Labour - 36
Conservative - 17
Lib Dem - 5
Independent - 1

[Peter]

East Midlands

2001 Composition:
Labour - 28
Conservative - 15
Lib Dem - 1

Chesterfield - LD hold
Erewash - LAB hold, Veritas third
High Peak - LAB hold (but only because of UKIP et al)

Harborough - LD gain from CON
Leicester South - LAB hold; The Lib Dems have actually given up I'm told
Boston & Skegness - LAB gain from CON; The sole against the tide gain mostly thanks to UKIP

Kettering - CON gain from LAB
Northampton South - CON gain from LAB
Wellingborough - CON gain from LAB

Rushcliffe - CON hold

New composition:
Labour - 26
Conservative - 16
LD - 2


Eastern England

2001 Composition:
Conservative - 34
Labour - 20
Lib Dem - 2

Cambridge - LD gain from LAB
Peterborough - CON gain from LAB

Braintree - CON gain from LAB
Castle Point - CON hold
Harwich - CON gain from LAB
Welwyn Hatfield - CON gain from LAB
Great Yarmouth - LAB hold
Norwich South - LAB hold; Strong LD second.

New Composition:
Conservative - 38
Labour - 15
Lib Dem - 3

Good. I'll hold you to these. Tynemouth? What makes you think so?

Its such a boring Region that I feel compelled to predict something will happen. Its certainly a possible gain and I think the Lib Dem campaign machine has been working at this one quite hard.

[Peter]

South West England[/u]

2001 Composition:
Conservative - 20
Labour - 16
Lib Dem - 15

Bristol West - LD gain from LAB
Weston Super Mare - CON gain from LD
Falmouth & Cambourne - LD gain from LAB; CON places 4th due to all sorts of craziness down there; UKIP third

North Devon - LD hold
Teignbridge - LD hold
Torridge & W Devon - CON gain from LD

Bournemouth East - LD gain from CON
Mid Dorset and North Poole - LD hold
Dorset South - CON gain from LD
Dorset West - LD gain from CON

Forest of Dean - CON gain from LAB
Gloucester - CON gain from LAB
Stroud - CON gain from LAB

Somerton & Frome - CON gain from LD
Taunton - LD gain from CON

New Composition:
Conservative - 24
Lib Dem - 16
Labour - 11


South East England[/u]

2001 Composition:
Conservative - 53
Labour - 22
Lib Dem - 8

Maidenhead - CON hold
Milton Keynes NE - CON gain from LAB
Romsey - LD hold

Dover - LAB hold
Folkestone & Hythe - CON hold
Gillingham - CON gain from LAB
Medway - CON gain from LAB
Thanet South - CON gain from LAB

Oxford East - LAB hold; Strong LD second
Oxford West & Abingdon - LD hold; Greens third
Wantage - CON hold

Guildford - CON gain from LD
Mole Valley - CON hold (despite my father being away)
Surrey SW - LD gain from CON

Brighton Pavilion - LAB hold; Greens second
Eastbourne - LD gain from CON
Hastings & Rye - LAB hold
Hove - CON gain from LAB

New Composition
Conservative - 57
Labour - 17
Lib Dem - 9

[Peter]

London[/u]

2001 Composition:
Labour - 55
Conservative - 13
Lib Dem - 6

Hammersmith & Fulham - CON gain from LAB
Islington South & Finsbury - LD gain from LAB
Kensington & Chelsea - CON hold

Hornchurch - CON gain from LAB

Enfield North - CON gain from LAB
Enfield Southgate - LAB hold
Finchley & Golders Green - CON gain from LAB
Hornsey & Wood Green - LD gain from LAB
Ilford North - CON gain from LAB

Bethnal Green & Bow - LAB hold; Respect second
Hackney South & Shoreditch - LAB hold

Brent East - LD gain from LAB
Harrow West - LAB hold

Croydon Central - LAB hold
Bexleyheath & Crayford - CON gain from LAB
Orpington - LD gain from CON
Lewisham Deptford - LAB hold; Green second
Putney - CON gain from LAB
Wimbledon - CON gain from LAB

New Composition
Labour - 45
Conservative - 19
Lib Dem - 10

[Peter]

Scotland[/u]
Theoretical 2001 Composition:
Labour - 46
Lib Dem - 9
SNP - 4

Dumfries and Galloway - CON gain from LAB
Angus - CON gain from SNP
Dunbartonshire East - LD gain from LAB
The Western Isles - SNP gain from LAB
Ochil & South Perthshire - SNP gain from LAB
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey - LD gain from LAB
Dundee East - SNP gain from LAB

New composition:
Labour - 40
Lib Dem - 11
SNP - 6
Conservative - 2

[Peter]

That gives the following totals:

Labour - 349
Conservative - 198
Lib Dem - 69
SNP - 6
Plaid - 5
Independent - 1
NI seats - 18

Majority 52 - healthy both the government and democracy.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Not bad; I tend think they'll be more regional polarisation than that, but it's certainly possible

[Bunnybrit]

Good work, Peter a 50 seat majority is what I have been saying for weeks, I dont agree that Blair will win with a another landlside.
Just a point, Great Yarmouth which you have Tony Wright holding onto will almost certainly go Tory, my parents live their(as I did once) and he is very unpopular locally even with Labour supporters, and the local went Conservative last year as well, expect that as a Conservative gain(now I have said that he will win!!!!
As for Watford where I live I have no idea what the result is going to be.Our MP is one of the orginial "Blair babes"
Claire Ward and has a majority of 5,500, but is not very popular locally even with most Labour supporters(she has done locally, other than get re-elected) but our local council is now dominated by the Lib Deams,(we have Lib Dem directly elected Mayor)but the Conservatives have been a excellent candidate in a Musilm Ali Miraj,and it could been a very close 3 way battle. I would not like to say who is going to win.

[Rural Radical]

Shrewsbury will NOT be a LD Gain. Con Gain maybe but not LD.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Interestingly, Burt got himself into trouble by using figures from StrategicVoter to make a bar chart on his leaflets.

[Rural Radical]

Burt is foolish to put it mildly.

Every Lib Dem in Shropshire should be in Ludlow Tommorow squeezing the Labour vote nowere else.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

South West England[/u]

Falmouth & Cambourne - LD gain from LAB; CON places 4th due to all sorts of craziness down there; UKIP third

A 4th or worse showing for the Conservatives there won't surprise me a bit, but unless the Veritas candidate is going to mainly draw Labour voters, I can't see there being enough swing to propel the LD to victory there.

[Rural Radical]

Labour Majority of 100

Dark Horse = Labour Gain Gosport