The absentee/early vote thread

[Antonio the Sixth]

Is there data on what % of eligible voters have cast a vote in each State?

[Gass3268]

Is there data on what % of eligible voters have cast a vote in each State?

I haven't seen it.

[Ozymandias]

VIRGINIA: "The Fairfax County's elections office has seen 6,000 votes cast by absentee voters as of Friday, 2,000 more votes compared to the same time four years ago, according to spokeswoman Lisa Connors."

http://patch.com/virginia/annandale/absentee-voting-underway-fairfax-county-6-000-have-voted-friday


Michael McDonald ‏@ElectProject  5m5 minutes ago
Michael McDonald Retweeted Michael McDonald
Seeing this in @ArlingtonVotes, too. No party reg in VA, but this looks similar to NC pattern of high Dem interest

[Landslide Lyndon]

Trump is going to make Fairfax and the other NOVA counties look like Brooklyn.

[dspNY]

Florida's voter registration deadline extended by 1 day in court (to October 12) after Clinton's campaign brought suit against Gov. Scott

https://www.dropbox.com/s/77qsoirtd67o9ff/show_temp.pl-6.pdf?dl=0

[Gass3268]

Florida's voter registration deadline extended by 1 day in court (to October 12) after Clinton's campaign brought suit against Gov. Scott

https://www.dropbox.com/s/77qsoirtd67o9ff/show_temp.pl-6.pdf?dl=0

Sounds like there is going to be a hearing on Wednesday and the court could rule to extend registration even further.

[Southern Delegate matthew27]

Total number of ballots cast in all reporting jurisdictions: 461,583

http://www.electproject.org/early_2016

[HillOfANight]

Pre-debates votes cast, number of votes returned _ days before the 2016 election (purple). 2012=gray

http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/11/politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-debate-early-voting/
http://imgur.com/a/qNo2M
https://twitter.com/jon_m_rob/status/785821423193366528?lang=en

[dspNY]

Florida ballot requests: Dems have narrowed the GOP vote-by-mail advantage to 68,000

GOP: 1,133,754
Dem: 1,065,059
Ind: 473,902
Other: 66,665

Early votes counted:

GOP: 21,106
Dem: 18,419
Ind: 7,290
Other: 1,591

[HillOfANight]

Would be interesting to know, of the GOP ballots, how much are Latino/Cuban/Hispanic.

[ApatheticAustrian]

democrats are weakened in the rust belt...and soaring at the coast states.

[Gass3268]

democrats are weakened in the rust belt...and soaring at the coast states.

Huh? Not seeing any issues in the rust belt, other than Iowa. Ohio I believe cut back on the absentee/early voting times. Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin look pretty good!

[Tender Branson]

So, 0.3% of the expected votes have already been cast.

Yay !

[HillOfANight]

https://twitter.com/gdebenedetti/status/785878553749557249

North Carolina
- Black registration up 6% since 2012
- Latino registration up 50% since 2012

Florida
- 10/3 to 10/9, Dems outnumbered GOP mail ballot requests 2:1

Nevada
- Latino registration up 24% since 2012

[Antonio the Sixth]

The Latino surge is real!!!!

[Ashley Biden's Diary]

Hillary's going to win NC, and it's going to be more Dem than FL.

[Southern Delegate matthew27]

Total number of ballots cast in all reporting jurisdictions: 509,658

http://www.electproject.org/early_2016


People are voting as Trump is down big time!  Expect the rate to speed up the next couple of weeks.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Looks like IA is starting to slowly correct itself.

[Southern Delegate matthew27]

Maine is looking pretty good for the democrats!




NC nearly tied

[HillOfANight]

http://targetsmart.com/news-item/smartshot-200-million-voters/

42.6% of new and updated registrants lean Democratic vs 29% lean GOP and 28% lean Independent.

[dspNY]

Early in-person voting started today in Ohio so we get to see the Hillary ground game do their thing

[Brittain33]

All of the above is true, but if there is a haircut across the board for Trump it's going to take out Georgia.

[dspNY]

Florida VBM ballot requests:

GOP: 1,122,963 (41.0%)
DEM: 1,065,295 (39.0%)
IND: 480,200 (17.6%)
Other: 66,142 (2.4%)

Florida VBM Votes cast:

GOP: 43,409 (42.7%)
DEM: 40,093 (39.4%)
IND: 14,929 (14.7%)
Other: 3,305 (3.2%)

The Democrats have narrowed the traditional Republican advantage in VBM requests + votes cast to around 60K. That slim advantage is nowhere near enough, in my opinion, for the Republicans to carry Florida considering the major Democratic advantage during in-person early voting

[dspNY]

On the other hand, the Republicans still have a glimmer of hope in Iowa. Yesterday, the ballot requests and votes received looked like this:

Ballots Requested

DEM: 128,421
GOP: 95,888
IND: 57,190
Other: 695

Ballots Cast

DEM: 56,553
GOP: 27,933
IND: 18,416
Other: 228

Now Clinton has a 90,000 vote cushion to work with from 2012 but the Dem ballot requests are still lagging significantly from 2012, where Obama won the state before election day

[dspNY]

I also believe with the Florida voter registration deadline moved back to October 18, the VBM request deadline might also be moved back to the same date, but we'll have to see the details of the ruling