The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread

[Never]

RCP has a nifty "campaign checklist" showing what the most probable presidential candidates from both parties have accomplished so far that could relate to a campaign:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/lists/2016_campaign_checklist/

[Never]

Contrary to the prevailing narrative, Real Clear Politics' Tom Bevan argues that there are five reasons Hillary won't run for president in 2016 (these are all direct quotes from Bevan):

1. "She's just not that good at campaigning."
2. "The “fire in the belly question."
3. "It ain’t gonna be a coronation."
4. "Obama is leaving a mess."
5. "The country wants real change."

[Never]

^ Which three?

Btw, I thought that the fourth reason was outside of Hillary's control, and that by the same metric, McCain should not have run for president in 2008, so I didn't think it was a useful justification for Hillary not starting a presidential campaign.

Tom Bevan does some to be a conservative, but I felt that this article made some interesting points.