National Assembly of Wales Elections 2016

[Diouf]

Final pre-election poll from YouGov

Constituency vote:
Labour: 33%
Conservatives: 21%
Plaid Cymru: 19%
UKIP: 16%
Liberal Democrats: 8%
Others: 4%

Regional list vote
Labour: 31%
Plaid Cymru: 20%
Conservatives: 20
UKIP: 16%
Liberal Democrats: 6%
Greens: 4%
Others: 4%

Predicted seat distribution
Labour: 27 seats (25 constituency seats + 2 list seats)
Plaid Cymru: 12 seats (6 constituency seats + 6 list seats)
Conservatives: 11 seats (7 constituency seats + 4 list seats)
UKIP: 8 seats (8 list seats)
Liberal Democrats: 2 seats (2 constituency seats)


http://blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/electionsinwales/2016/05/04/the-final-pre-election-poll-in-wales/