NV Congressional Races 2016
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Author Topic: NV Congressional Races 2016  (Read 31769 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #75 on: February 17, 2015, 06:23:02 PM »
Krolicki's still thinking about it but Ralston's strong implication is that Krolicki won't ultimately run. Besides, there's no real difference between them and both are Sandoval loyalists.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #76 on: February 17, 2015, 08:05:08 PM »
Even with his "Why would I propose these things?" comment, I'm still giving Sandoval a 20% chance of running. First, I'm not stupid enough to believe that he likes Reid or is scared of his imaginary turnout machine, or anything silly and dumb like that. Second, McConnell and co. will be SCREAMING at Sandoval to run from now until the filing deadline, especially because with Sandoval, the race would be Likely R.

I would count Hutchinson almost completely out. The idea with him running for Lt. Gov. was that there would be no risk of a democrat winning the seat (as opposed to Lowden, who would have pulled out a narrow win at best), freeing up Sandoval to run for Senate without giving the governorship to a democrat. The idea wasn't for Hutchinson to use it as a leaping post for a 2016 federal office campaign. Furthermore, he would have spent less than a year as Lt. Gov. upon beginning his campaign, which just sounds like too soon to run for another office. Besides, he's only 51, so he has plenty of time to enjoy being Lt. Gov. and perhaps run for Governor in 2018 (when Sandoval is term-limited) and/or for Heller's Senate seat once Heller retires (or in 2022 if Reid wins reelection.) . I'll give Hutchinson a 5% chance of running at this point - I don't think the party will pursue him seriously unless Sandoval, Krolicki, and Roberson all refuse to run, which I doubt will happen.

I see Krolicki as a lot likelier to run. He has a grudge against Reid over that indictment, and those things are hard to let go. Furthermore, if Roberson bows out or looks weak well before the filing deadline, the pressure on Krolicki (barring Sandoval entering) to run will be intense. That being said, he's only slightly better than Roberson at face value. I'll put the odds of Krolicki running at 45%.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #77 on: March 27, 2015, 06:52:11 AM »
BREAKING: Reid is retiring.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #78 on: March 27, 2015, 09:49:10 AM »
I guess that moves Nevada from lean D to toss up at best to lean R with a good candidate for Republicans. RIP Democratic Senate Majority.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #79 on: March 27, 2015, 12:07:24 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on March 27, 2015, 09:49:10 AM
I guess that moves Nevada from lean D to toss up at best to lean R with a good candidate for Republicans. RIP Democratic Senate Majority.

Nah it goes from tossup tilt-D to...tossup tilt-D Tongue

Too early to say anything more until we know who is running on both sides.
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retromike22
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« Reply #80 on: March 27, 2015, 12:10:13 PM »
Curses!
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retromike22
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« Reply #81 on: March 30, 2015, 11:22:54 PM »
Rep. Dina Titus is considering:

http://atr.rollcall.com/dina-titus-senate-bid-could-shake-up-nevada-races/?dcz=
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #82 on: March 30, 2015, 11:27:41 PM »

Giving up a safe seat for a run against Reid's chosen successor? I doubt she goes for it.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #83 on: April 04, 2015, 10:02:05 PM »
LVRJ's report card on both teams.

Masto: A+ fundraiser but has never run a competitive race.

Krolicki: B fundraiser, only mediocre name ID, plus has that old indictment as baggage.

Hutchison: A-rated fundraiser but relative novice. Close to Sandoval.

Roberson: B fundraiser, never run statewide, but does have a Clark base. Wide-open right flank.

Laxalt: A-rated fundraiser, name ID, but inexperienced with recent baggage.
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Vosem
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« Reply #84 on: April 04, 2015, 10:36:12 PM »
Has there been a shift where Hutchison is now likelier to run than Roberson? I don't see them running against each other since they're both from the Sandoval wing of the party, and Hutchison is probably higher-profile than Roberson (and he's definitely very ambitious).
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #85 on: April 04, 2015, 10:52:07 PM »
Hutchison is sniffing around DC. Roberson is also making moves but won't say anything till session ends.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #86 on: April 06, 2015, 02:51:13 PM »
DSCC and EMILY's List support Masto, who's announcing this week.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #87 on: April 08, 2015, 01:02:18 PM »
Masto will announce later today.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #88 on: April 08, 2015, 01:45:56 PM »
You forgot to mention that our own King endorsed his cousin, Mrs. Cortez-Masto.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #89 on: April 08, 2015, 02:08:24 PM »
She's in.
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King
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« Reply #90 on: April 08, 2015, 02:27:28 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on April 08, 2015, 01:45:56 PM
You forgot to mention that our own King endorsed his cousin, Mrs. Cortez-Masto.

Yeah, Safe D.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #91 on: April 08, 2015, 03:43:29 PM »
« Edited: April 08, 2015, 03:56:24 PM by RogueBeaver »
Via Alexis Levinson, strange Pub poll which has Titus up on Masto 44/20 in a hypothetical primary.

DSCC endorses Masto.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #92 on: April 08, 2015, 03:51:31 PM »
LOL Ross Miller at 5%. What a downfall.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #93 on: April 08, 2015, 03:57:10 PM »
Speaking of him, he unsurprisingly endorsed Masto.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #94 on: April 08, 2015, 05:06:52 PM »
Quote from: maxwell on April 08, 2015, 03:51:31 PM
LOL Ross Miller at 5%. What a downfall.

I wouldn't read anything into what is pretty clearly a junk Republican poll.  Miller is still gonna be Nevada's next Governor.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #95 on: April 23, 2015, 07:04:20 AM »
Heck is doing "due diligence" in considering.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #96 on: April 23, 2015, 07:08:02 PM »

Well, what do you know; Titus may be a senator after all.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #97 on: April 24, 2015, 06:55:56 PM »
Heck and Titus still considering, Ralston says Titus unlikely.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #98 on: April 25, 2015, 11:09:15 AM »
Ralston: Heck is considering but still more likely than not to pass. Heck considers Masto a tougher opponent than Reid.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #99 on: May 11, 2015, 11:22:00 AM »
Hutchison is out, Krolicki isn't serious, Roberson would drop down to CD3 if Heck ran.
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