The Hill: Pryor leads Huckabee 49-42 in poll (user search)
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  The Hill: Pryor leads Huckabee 49-42 in poll (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Hill: Pryor leads Huckabee 49-42 in poll  (Read 2869 times)
Adlai Stevenson
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« on: June 27, 2007, 02:45:27 PM »

By Aaron Blake
June 27, 2007

Sen. Mark Pryor (D-Ark.) leads former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R) 49-42 in a hypothetical 2008 Senate match-up, according to a poll conducted last month by the state chapter of the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees.

Huckabee has not shown any public interest in running against Pryor in 2008 and has said he is focused on his presidential ambitions. But some have speculated that the Senate might be a good fallback plan if the 10-year governor’s under-funded White House bid falls through.

Huckabee currently stands at less than 5 percent in most national polls, and he raised only $500,000 in the first quarter of the cycle.

The poll surveyed 496 likely voters between May 29 and 31 and had a margin of error of 4.5 percent. It asked respondents to answer 40 questions — the bulk of which were related to labor issues.

The match-up featured a lead-in description, which referred to Pryor as the “current United States Senator” who “has announced his candidacy for reelection.” It said Huckabee “has been mentioned as an opponent if he abandons his candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination.”

Pryor and Huckabee both got “very favorable” or “somewhat favorable” ratings from about 60 percent of respondents.
Huckabee’s unfavorable rating, at 38 percent, was higher than Pryor’s (23 percent).

http://thehill.com/leading-the-news/pryor-leads-huckabee-49-42-in-poll-2007-06-27.html
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2007, 08:04:14 AM »

Plus it would be very, very hard to create a black-dominated congressional district.  Few counties at all are black-majority.

I tried creating a black majority district made out of state senate/house districts (I forget which). I got a district with a 47% African-American population.

Here's the map:



So yes, Preston is right. Arkansas is the sancutary for White Dems in the South. Cheesy

Probably the grey one I suspect. 
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #2 on: August 17, 2007, 11:09:44 AM »

Do you have the information of the distribution of counties in your districts etc.  Then we could work out how the new districts would vote? 
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #3 on: August 17, 2007, 11:44:16 AM »

If this map was implemented, Arkansas could potentially have an all-Democratic Congressional delagation. 
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