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Biden will definitely win some of these states, but at the current time, strictly speaking I'd only rate MN as "at least Lean D" (it's Likely D, and tbh, closer to Safe than Lean in terms of outcome).

No New York isn't competitive but the point is that its incredibly significant that a presidential candidate especially a Republican is willing to go to the South Bronx which has traditionally been very hostile turf to the GOP. Like sure Biden could go to Kansas, but would he be willing to go to say Wallace county for a campaign event (not government business)?

This is fundamentally a false equivalency - there's a dramatic difference is in population, and even in the Bronx there are more than enough Trump supporters to fill up a stadium; a lot more people will be reached out to. Wallace County, otoh, has very few voters at all, let alone Biden voters. The Bronx had 67,000 votes for Trump in 2020, whereas Wallace County (where he won 93% of the vote) gave him just 770 (Biden only won 44). There were, in other words, 87 times as many votes for Trump in the deeply Democratic Bronx as there were in the heavily Republican Wallace County, and 1500 times as many Trump voters in the Bronx as there were Biden voters in Wallace County.

Now do you understand? The issue is less that it's deeply Republican and more that there are literally so few people to reach out to. If UT continues trending leftward, it may actually make sense to hold a rally in Utah County, in spite of it being a deeply conservative bastion, because it still has a pretty large number of voters, including Democrats (Biden won just 26% of the vote there, but that still came to over 76k votes).

He will win New York and most counties by similar Reagan 1984 margins. Bigly!

[arguably AOC as well]

Greene and Crockett should have been ejected from the Committee. arguably AOC as well. Why were they not?

Because she asked the chairman to enforce the rules?
Then again judging by the way you treat a scofflaw like Trump I shouldn't be surprised.

[House Seats (1963) 7House Seats (2013) 7VAP Demographics (2010) 69% White, 16% Black, 13% HispanicPVI 2008: R+42PVI 2012: R+45PVI 2016: R+47PVI 2020: R+48Congressional Representation: TX inherits the original state's Senate seats, and in fact might be the most natural place for both Cornyn and Cruz to run in (they're both from Houston but I doubt they'd do very well there). For the House, unless the VRA is interpreted to mandate a Black opportunity seat (which would be quite a challenge to draw - Tim, if you're so inclined feel free to try) it's an easy 7-0 Republican delegation.]

House Seats (1963) 7
House Seats (2013) 7

VAP Demographics (2010) 69% White, 16% Black, 13% Hispanic

PVI 2008: R+42
PVI 2012: R+45
PVI 2016: R+47
PVI 2020: R+48

Congressional Representation: TX inherits the original state's Senate seats, and in fact might be the most natural place for both Cornyn and Cruz to run in (they're both from Houston but I doubt they'd do very well there). For the House, unless the VRA is interpreted to mandate a Black opportunity seat (which would be quite a challenge to draw - Tim, if you're so inclined feel free to try) it's an easy 7-0 Republican delegation.

Challenge accepted. I'll get to drawing when the other Western ones are done.

Nothing and unless he dies on stage no one will remember this after two days.

Purge the bedwetters. Imagine being such a pussy you get scared of a chatbot.

A chatbot? Give it a few years and it will decide if you qualify for a mortgage, how you should be paid, whether you get a job or whether you did commit a crime. It will decide your life for you, and you will have no recourse, even if it wrong or mistaken.

A lot of dumb people still don't realize how many aspects of our lives are going to have chatbots forced into them. People like Sam Altman dream of a future in which all big decisions are made "perfectly" by his chatbot that thinks it's safe to cook eggs in the microwave. And you're right, they want it involved in law enforcement too. Google the wrong thing and all of a sudden the computer decides you should be on the no fly list.

I'm curious, what makes folks here choose NZ over Australia? Aside from the language thing, there doesn't seem to be much to suggest one over the other -- NZ has a cooler climate but it also seems to be pretty different qualitatively from the UK.

This may not really be meaningful, but I've been watching Taskmaster recently and I've been struck by the sheer number of people from the Antipodes on there; it seems like the U.K. entertainment industry might be a draw in the same way that ambitious Canadians (and people from everywhere else ofc) go to Hollywood.

Greene and Crockett should have been ejected from the Committee. arguably AOC as well. Why were they not?

Speaking of which, does anyone have any information on how Cate Blanchett feels about Morfydd Clark playing her character?  We know Morfydd (who was only 11 or 12 when the original LOTR trilogy came out) looks upon Cate much like we do -as a fan looking upon a distant star.  I think she mentioned she felt (and I think still feels) too intimidated and starstruck to talk to Cate directly.  

But how about on the other end -what does Cate think about Morfydd's performance as Galadriel?  And if she were directing the Rings of Power from the start, would she have selected her?