Obama is down 19% and you people are asking if he's going to win a CD there?
Read Lunar's post.
It's hard to have an intellectual discussion about Obama potentially expanding the electoral map here. 100% of McCain supporters and about 50% of our knowledgeable posters understandably oppose the idea.
My argument is this: Obama's internal polling & advertising apparatus is far more aware than even the wittiest posters here. I do not like explanations of the macro map without justifications for current spending & organization patterns by people smarter than us. I mean, throw it away as a bluff or whatever, few articulate why that bluff, in an expert perspective, could be worth millions of dollars.
edit: I just made a far more whiny and arrogant thread about the above-mentioned topic