Republican Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)

[dax00]

What's up with CD4

We are only getting counts from counties that are entirely in one CD? CD 4 is, of course, only part of a county

Per AP there are no results as of yet from congressional district 4

AP, not knowing precincts, only use full counties for CD results. As CD-4 is only a part of the county, AP will never have results for it.

If AP does breakdowns by CD, I would love a link thereto.

[Matty]

Trump leading in 46/72 counties (64%) despite losing by 14%.

now I know what a democratic feels like on election night when they win lol

[Boston Bread]

Trump leading in 46/72 counties (64%) despite losing by 14%.

now I know what a democratic feels like on election night when they win lol

I felt the same way as Romney voters did in 2012 with Sanders losing in IL, MO, or MA
Also when the NDP comes in third in Ontario despite winning 67% of the land area.

[Why]

What's up with CD4

We are only getting counts from counties that are entirely in one CD? CD 4 is, of course, only part of a county

Per AP there are no results as of yet from congressional district 4

AP, not knowing precincts, only use full counties for CD results. As CD-4 is only a part of the county, AP will never have results for it.

That is what I was thinking and posted but then I doubted it and deleted my post, LOL.

[Derpist]

Trump won the Menominee Res by 2 votes.  The 78 residents who voted Trump should be ashamed of themselves.

I mean, Native Americans seem like the most logical minority group to back Trump, don't they?

Trump seems to be handily winning most non-white/anglo Republicans, with the exception of Cuban-Americans because two Cuban-Americans were in the race.

[yourelection]

This loss in Wisconsin will make it difficult for Trump to get the majority of delegates he needs. He will continue to be the front-runner and will most likely go to the convention with the most delegates.

New York could be a major win for him, but most likely not enough.

It will be interesting to see what happens at the convention.

More at: http://www.yourelection.net/2016/04/wisconsin-primary-2016/

[Tender Branson]

Turnout just crossed 2 million votes.

That's ca. 45% of the VAP and 47% of the VEP.

[ElectionsGuy]

Turnout just crossed 2 million votes.

That's ca. 45% of the VAP and 47% of the VEP.

Amazing! Wisconsin is always really good with turnout, but this is still very impressive for a primary.

Turnout from the two ideological poles of Wisconsin, in WOW and Dane, are downright astonishing. 172K votes just from main candidates of both parties from Waukesha County, population 390K. On the other side, 231K votes from main candidates in Dane, population 524K.

[Tender Branson]

WI still had a full primary ballot:

48.4 Cruz
35.0 Trump
14.1 Kasich
  1.0 Rubio
  0.5 Carson
  0.3 Bush
  0.2 Paul
  0.2 Uninstructed
  0.1 Huckabee
  0.1 Christie
  0.1 Fiorina
  0.1 Santorum
  0.0 Gilmore

http://interactives.ap.org/2016/primary-election-results/?STATE=WI&date=0405

[ElectionsGuy]

Great night, couldn't be more pleased with the results.

[Gass3268]

Looks like Trump will hold on in WI-03.  Cruz would need to make up another 4K votes out of what's left of Eau Claire and Portage.  I'm a bit puzzled by how well Trump held up in this area.  What we saw throughout eastern WI could have been projected by adding Rubio's and half of Kasich's supporters to Cruz in western MI and WI-07 makes sense given the U.P. of Michigan, but far western WI didn't act remotely like eastern MN and IA.

I have a feeling Trump would have done better in MN and won IA if they were both primaries.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Turnout Game (95 precincts still out):

Rs: 1,071,874 (52.5%)
Ds: 970,298 (47.5%)

Dems in deep trouble in Wisconsin this November.

[IceSpear]

Turnout Game (95 precincts still out):

Rs: 1,071,874 (52.5%)
Ds: 970,298 (47.5%)

Dems in deep trouble in Wisconsin this November.

People said the same thing about Walker's win in 2012, lol.

[IceSpear]

So did Trump win CD-3?

[Gass3268]

Turnout Game (95 precincts still out):

Rs: 1,071,874 (52.5%)
Ds: 970,298 (47.5%)

Dems in deep trouble in Wisconsin this November.

Lolno

[Vosem]

So did Trump win CD-3?

Very probably, but still not quite certainly.

[Why]

Trump is ahead by ~3500 votes and there is not very much left to count, so Trump is going to win CD 3.

[Reds4]

Pierce county a tie with 100% reporting

[Donnie]

Actually this 35.1% for Trump in Wisconsin is not bad at all.
Silver had him at 36% 2-3 weeks ago there and my projection was 37%.
Imo Trump is still on right track to win NY with 51-53%.

[Meclazine for Israel]

Trump has a large lead to begin with.

Cruz really needs to dominate to get to 1237.

[Miles]

Comparing Santorum 12's % of the vote (green) to Trump's (orange)

[Mr. Morden]

Cruz's strong showing in Wisconsin was enough to move him up from 27% to 28% in the national popular vote. 

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/R

Trump 37%
Cruz 28%
Rubio 16%
Kasich 13%
Carson 3%
Bush 1%

[ElectionsGuy]

I know this is days late, but I wanted to evaluate the impact of the Milwaukee area. First, just the surrounding three counties (WOW):

Cruz: 117,547 (61.2%)
Trump: 42,530 (22.1%)
Kasich: 28,173 (14.7%)
Other: 3,846 (2.0%)

Total: 192,096 (17.4% of total vote)

with Milwaukee County:

Cruz: 178,992 (58.6%)
Trump: 72,046 (23.6%)
Kasich: 47,344 (15.5%)
Other: 7,082 (2.3%)

Total: 305,464 (27.7% of total vote)

Wisconsin without Milwaukee area:

Cruz: 352,137 (44.3%)
Trump: 314,324 (39.5%)
Kasich: 107,856 (13.6%)
Other: 21,342 (2.7%)

Total: 795,659

[ElectionsGuy]

This was the R vs D turnout. I would do shades, but the NYT doesn't have an overall 'other' option on their results page and politico has them all listed out, and it would take forever to tally. Nonetheless, I tallied the important ones. Milwaukee was 63/37 D, Waukesha was 70/30 R, Dane was 70/30 D, Washington was 75/25 R, Ozaukee was 68/32 R. With the exception of Columbia County, this is actually the exact county map that won Scott Walker his re-election in 2014. The margin of R to D votes (52.3-47.7) is almost exactly what Rebecca Bradley won by as well.