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May 20, 2024, 08:56:35 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 08:55:55 AM 
Started by Obama24 - Last post by kwabbit
I’ve only been following elections since 2016, when I was 11 but I like to think I have a fairly decent prediction record. I knew 2016 would be close, predicted a 53-47 senate/dems gaining about 40 in the house in 2018, never bought that 2020 would be a landslide and even here in Canada had Trudeau winning a second term when he was down in most polls. I also always knew this race would be a Biden/Trump rematch.

As of now I’d say Biden pulls this off narrowly but it’s far from a done deal, and as georgiamoderate said a lot can change. We want the answer to this election but simply won’t get it for quite a while. As Adam Carlson (great election analyst, suggest you give him a follow) says, “embrace patience and uncertainty”

Polls essentially nailed 2021 Canadian, actually slightly underrated Tories. Remember that they won the PV in the end. It's just that the Liberals have  a huge geography advantage, and even when O'Toole had a 5 pt lead they were barely going to place first in seats and never were going to form government.

 2 
 on: Today at 08:55:10 AM 
Started by Hnv1 - Last post by Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
And the spamming resumes. Once again, yelling things is not genocide and conducting a defensive war is also not genocide.

 3 
 on: Today at 08:55:01 AM 
Started by iceman - Last post by mjba257
Several early indicators to look for:
- Fayette County, KY, home of Lexington, a mid-sized city with a good mix of urban and suburban areas. If Biden is underperforming here, that could be a sign that he is losing ground in both urban and suburban areas

- Georgia - due to recent law changes, GA very likely will count their ballots very quickly this year and if polls are correct and remain steady until November, GA could be called for Trump pretty early (before 10 o'clock). We can look at margins in Fulton (Atlanta) and it's surrounding suburbs and see 1) is turnout down in Atlanta (indicating underperformance with black voters) and 2) is he underperforming his 2020 margins in Metro Atlanta (that doesn't bode well for him in other college-educated suburbs like in Philly)

- Does New Jersey get called right at poll closings? If not, that would mean exit polls are showing a much closer race in the Garden State than we've seen in years. Nobody seriously thinks NJ is going to flip this year, but a significantly closer than usual race could spell doom in neighboring PA.

 4 
 on: Today at 08:54:46 AM 
Started by KaiserDave - Last post by KaiserDave
https://vtdigger.org/2024/05/20/howard-dean-will-not-run-for-governor-of-vermont/

Whelp

 5 
 on: Today at 08:54:27 AM 
Started by Logical - Last post by Lykaon
RIP massive HPs, but cooking to death inside the helicopter would have been a horrible way to go had it lasted for very long, so I hope they at least died quickly.

This. I'm pretty scared for what comes next though.

With how scared you get whenever anything bad happens to a dictator(ship); I don’t want to know what you would’ve been saying in the 1940s.

We’re in antebellum right now. It’s gonna be us or it’s gonna be them. Party it up when one of these clowns punch their ticket to Hell

 6 
 on: Today at 08:51:07 AM 
Started by Hnv1 - Last post by pppolitics


Israel officials themselves said out loud that Israel is committing genocide.

ICC was forced to do it.

The crime is so blazon that if ICC don't do it, the rest of the world can easily point out the laws don't apply to western countries and their allies.
Who officials?

If this isn't genocide, I don't know what would be:

Quote
“you must remember what Amalek has done to you, says our Holy Bible. And we do remember”
- Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu

Quote
“It’s an entire nation out there that is responsible. It’s not true this rhetoric about civilians not aware not involved. It’s absolutely not true. … and we will fight until we break their backbone.”
- President Isaac Herzog

Quote
“[Israel is] imposing a complete siege on Gaza. No electricity, no food, no water, no fuel. Everything is closed. We are fighting human animals and we are acting accordingly.”
- Defence Minister Yoav Gallant

Quote
“[t]o be clear, when we say that Hamas should be destroyed, it also means those who celebrate, those who support, and those who hand out candy — they’re all terrorists, and they should also be destroyed.”
- Minister of National Security Itamar Ben-Gvir

Quote
“Humanitarian aid to Gaza? No electrical switch will be turned on, no water hydrant will be opened and no fuel truck will enter until the Israeli abductees are returned home. Humanitarianism for humanitarianism. And no one will preach us morality.”
- Israeli Minister of Energy and Infrastructure Israel Katz

Quote
“[w]e need to deal a blow that hasn’t been seen in 50 years and take down Gaza.”
- Israeli Minister of Finance Bezalel Smotrich

Quote
“The north of the Gaza Strip, more beautiful than ever. Everything is blown up and
flattened, simply a pleasure for the eyes … We must talk about the day after. In my mind, we
will hand over lots to all those who fought for Gaza over the years and to those evicted from
Gush Katif”
- Israeli Minister of Heritage Amichai Eliyahu

Quote
“we wouldn’t hand the Nazis humanitarian aid”
- Israeli Minister of Heritage Amichai Eliyahu

Quote
“there is no such thing as uninvolved civilians in Gaza”
- Israeli Minister of Heritage Amichai Eliyahu

Heritage Minister Amichai Eliyahu said that one of Israel's options in the war against Hamas could be to drop a nuclear bomb on the Gaza Strip

Quote
“we are now actually rolling out the Gaza Nakba”
- Israeli Minister of Agriculture Avi Dichter

Quote
“now we all have one common goal — erasing the Gaza Strip from the face of the earth. Those who are unable will be replaced.”
- Deputy Speaker of the Knesset and Member of the Foreign Affairs and Security Committee Nissim Vaturi

Quote
“Hamas became ISIS and the citizens of Gaza are celebrating instead of being horrified. Human animals are dealt with accordingly. Israel has imposed a total blockade on Gaza, no electricity, no water, just damage. You wanted hell, you will get hell.”
- Israeli Army Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories Major General Ghassan Alian

Quote
"This is what Israel has begun to do — we cut the supply of energy, water and diesel to the Strip . . . But it’s not enough. In order to make the siege effective, we have to prevent others from giving assistance to Gaza . . . The people should be told that they have two choices; to stay and to starve, or to leave."
- Israeli Army Reservist Major General, former Head of the Israeli National Security Council, and adviser to the Defence Minister Giora Eiland

Quote
“[w]hen you are at war with another country you don't feed them, you don't provide them electricity or gas or water or anything else . . . A country can be attacked in a much broader way, to bring the
country to the brink of dysfunction. This is the necessary outcome of events”
- Giora Eiland

Quote
“Israel has no interest in the Gaza Strip being rehabilitated and this is an important point
that needs to be made clear to the Americans”
- Giora Eiland

Quote
“if we ever want to see the hostages alive, the only way is to create a severe humanitarian crisis in Gaza”
- Giora Eiland

Quote
“[water] comes from wells with salt water unfit for consumption. They have water treatment plants, Israel should hit those plants. When the entire world says we have gone insane and this is a humanitarian disaster — we will say, it’s not an end, it’s a means.”
- Giora Eiland

Quote
“[C]reate such a huge pressure on Gaza, that Gaza will become an area where people cannot live. People cannot live, until Hamas is destroyed, which means that Israel not only stops to supply energy, diesel, water, food … as we did in the last twenty years … but we should prevent any possible assistance by others, and to create in Gaza such a terrible, unbearable situation, that can last weeks and months”
- Giora Eiland

Quote
“the State of Israel has no choice but to make Gaza a place that is temporarily, or permanently, impossible to live in.”
- Giora Eiland

Quote
“Israel needs to create a humanitarian crisis in Gaza, compelling tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands to seek refuge in Egypt or the Gulf . . . Gaza will become a place where no human being can exist.”
- Giora Eiland

Quote
“Who are the ‘poor’ women of Gaza? They are all the mothers, sisters or wives of Hamas murderers. On the one hand, they are part of the infrastructure that supports the organization, and on the other hand, if they experience a humanitarian disaster, then it can be assumed that some of the Hamas fighters and the more junior commanders will begin to understand that the war is futile . . . The international community warns us of a humanitarian disaster in Gaza and of severe epidemics. We must not shy away from this, as difficult as that may be. After all, severe epidemics in the south of the Gaza Strip will bring victory closer . . . It is precisely its civil collapse that will bring the end of the war closer. When senior Israeli figures say in the media ‘It's either us or them’ we should clarify the question of who is ‘them’. ‘They’ are not only Hamas fighters with weapons, but also all the ‘civilian’ officials, including hospital administrators and school administrators, and also the entire Gaza population who enthusiastically supported Hamas and cheered on its atrocities on October 7th.”
- President Herzog

Quote
“Be triumphant and finish them off and don’t leave anyone behind. Erase the memory of them. Erase them, their families, mothers and children. These animals can no longer live . . . Every Jew with a weapon should go out and kill them. If you have an Arab neighbour, don't wait, go to his home and shoot him . . . We want to invade, not like before, we want to enter and destroy what’s in front of us, and destroy houses, then destroy the one after it. With all of our forces, complete destruction, enter and destroy. As you can see, we will witness things we’ve never dreamed of. Let them drop bombs on them and erase them.”
-  Israeli army reservist Ezra Yachin

Quote
“work[ing] together with all the bodies in the IDF when the goal is clear — to destroy everything that has been touched by the hand of Hamas”
- Head of the Israeli army’s Air Operations Group Lieutenant colonel Gilad Kinan

Quote
“[t]he entire Gaza should resemble Beit Hanoun”
Commander in the 2908th Battalion of the Israeli army Yair Ben David

Quote
[w]hoever returns here, if they return here after, will find scorched earth. No houses, no agriculture, no nothing. They have no future”
- Israeli Army Colonel, Deputy Head of COGAT Colonel Yogev Bar
Sheshet

Quote
“Vengeance is a great value. There is vengeance over what they did to us … This place will be a fallow land. They will not be able to live here”
- Colonel Erez Eshel

Quote
'May your village burn'!! Yes, yes, as far as I'm concerned, it's a great morale to wish Gaza to be wiped out and set on fire. I have often said revenge is a value. They almost occupied the kibbutzim of the south, slaughtered, raped, decapitated and gouged out eyes, almost 1400 were murdered in one Shabbat. So let their village burn. And if 'La Familia' sing it, it's because they understand that the enemy only understands power! And more power.
-  Revital Gottlieb

Quote
"They used the word revenge a lot. I don't think it's revenge - it's justice. If you ask me on a personal level - I flatten Gaza, I have no sentiments. Because the killers of the women and children should not be separated from the citizens of Gaza"
- Keti sh**trit

Quote
Erasing all of Gaza from the face of the earth.
That the Gazan monsters will fly to the southern fence and try to enter Egyptian territory.
or they will die.
And their death is evil.
Gaza should be erased.
And fire and smoke on the heads of the Nazis in Judea and Samaria.
Haron is also a Jew who will shake the earth of the world.
A vengeful and cruel IDF is needed here.
Anything less is immoral.
Just unethical."
- Tally Gotliv

Quote
"Shelling from the air without mercy!! It is enough to feel sorry for cruel people at such painful prices. It is enough to feel sorry for Gazans who are not involved. There are no uninvolved. Any Gazan who remains in a combat location is assisting a terrorist organization. enough!
Change diskette. Destroy every place where there are terrorists and terrorist aides. from the air!!
Do not endanger soldiers if you can shell from the air!"
- Tally Gotliv

Quote
"There are no innocents in Gaza."
- Avigdor Liberman

Quote
“the killers of the women and children should not be separated from the citizens of Gaza”
-  Katrin “Keti” sh**trit-Peretz

Quote
“the children of Gaza have brought this upon themselves”
- Meirav Ben-Ari

Quote
“there should be one sentence for everyone there — death”
-  Yitzhak Kroizer

Quote
“[w]e must not forget that even the ‘innocent citizens’ — the cruel and monstrous people from Gaza took an active part . . . there is no place for any humanitarian gesture — the memory of Amalek must be protested”
- Boaz Bismouth

Quote
“[w]ithout hunger and thirst among the Gazan population, we will not be able to recruit collaborators”
- Revital Gottlieb

Quote
"Nuclear Missile! Nuclear Missile! Strategic alert. before considering the introduction of forces.
Nuclear weapon! This is my opinion. May God preserve all our strength"
- Tally Gotliv

Quote
"Right now, one goal: Nakba! A Nakba that will overshadow the Nakba of 48. Nakba in Gaza and Nakba to anyone who dares to join! their Nakba, because like then in 1948, the alternative is clear."
-  Ariel Kallner

 7 
 on: Today at 08:49:32 AM 
Started by GAinDC - Last post by GAinDC


Good news. To me, it also adds credence to the argument that corporations have much more control over prices than they let on or that the public realizes.

 8 
 on: Today at 08:48:03 AM 
Started by Obama24 - Last post by Pres Mike
As things stand, the best realistic option is for Russia to withdraw to Feb 22 2022 borders. UN peacekeepers on the border

 9 
 on: Today at 08:46:21 AM 
Started by jojoju1998 - Last post by Pres Mike
No. In a perfect world everyone would learn in good public school but if society fails to provide a good quality education for free I don't blame parents wanting their own children to get a good education.

 10 
 on: Today at 08:44:25 AM 
Started by President Johnson - Last post by Santander
1. Kentucky
2. West Virginia

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