I think Lee Terry(R-NE 2) is very vunerable. He only won his seat by 2 points last year.
CA 31- I don't know on paper Miller looks vunerable but election time you don't know how thats gonna turn out. He is probably in a seat that is the most moderate district a Republican currently holds.
MI 11 only looks appetizing to the Dems because of the reindeer ranching tea partier that currently holds the seat.
I think the Republicans should eye CA-26 next cycle. Brownley is too liberal to hold that seat I think. Strickland was a "Moderate Conservative" and he still lost. Signing the "Norquist Tax Pledge" I think made him look polarizing.
Sean Patrick Maloney's seat we need more of an Economic Moderate R to win that seat. Hayworth was mostly a straight down the line Tea Partier. She wasn't a good fit for the district.
CA-26 will probably not go back to Republicans absent a GOP wave.
Maloney will be a far tougher target for Republicans than Hall was for several reasons. The first is that the district shifted about a point to the left in redistricting. The other big reason is that Maloney will raise an enormous amount of money, unlike Hall, who hated having to raise money and was a generally lazy campaigner.
Well CA-26 did start out R+3 in redistricting I think. I don't think Brentwood is liberal either. I think the district is pretty "centrist" fiscally and doesn't want a hard line fiscal liberal. They only voted for Brownley I think because of Strickland signing "The Norquist Tax Pledge"as I said before.
Yeah John Hall got lucky because 2006 and 2008 were Dem wave years.
