What's the loose link in the freiwal? (user search)
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  What's the loose link in the freiwal? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which is the most vulnerable freiwal state? (pick one)
#1
Pennsylvania
 
#2
Colorado
 
#3
Wisconsin
 
#4
Michigan
 
#5
New Hampshire
 
#6
Virginia
 
#7
Maine
 
#8
Other
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 77

Author Topic: What's the loose link in the freiwal?  (Read 849 times)
°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,246
Uruguay


« on: October 14, 2016, 10:37:02 AM »

NH,ME,VA, in that order but I voted NH
(maybe NE?)
Another interesting question, which state is most likely to flip from
2012? IA? There are many (mostly Romney states, of course) but it is interesting that the one state
from 2012 which seems most likely to flip is IA, which could be bad news for Clinton, because
I think as of today her firewall is quite tenous and may be slightly under 270.
Also with every electoral vote mattering if Trump picks up steam in the last few days/weeks before 11/8
beware the faithless elector (one in WA says he won't vote for Clinton).

If Clinton loses NH but wins all of ME or visa versa (not likely at all that she would lose all of ME's electors)
she'd be at 269 which would make NE's one district a tipping point district.

I also think it's quite possible for her to sweep all swing states although maybe not IA but she could win NC,OH & AZ
for example as this election is totally unpredictable.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,246
Uruguay


« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2016, 10:39:28 AM »

also either FL or NH could be the tipping point if it turns out to be a close election.
Both were critical in 2000, so have things really changed that much from 2000?
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,246
Uruguay


« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2016, 02:18:32 PM »

A lot depends on how the campaigns target certain states. Clinton might do well to focus more on NE, ME and VA and stop worrying about states like PA. She is making a considerable effort in FL which could very well be the tipping point state if she were to lose ME, NH or VA. OH also seems to be winnable.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,246
Uruguay


« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2016, 09:20:10 PM »

Clinton might do well to focus more on NE

Do you mean NH, or do you know something we all don't? Wink
no and no.. I mean Nebraska although a very very strong Republican state (hint 2008)
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