Dumb News: Compiled User Predictions now Show Florida as Democratic
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Author Topic: Dumb News: Compiled User Predictions now Show Florida as Democratic  (Read 429 times)
Sorenroy
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« on: April 07, 2016, 02:03:56 PM »
« edited: April 07, 2016, 02:06:09 PM by Sorenroy »
https://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/PRESIDENT/2016/pred.php

The results are now 332-206.

While I can't quite make out when it happened by the graph, it appears that it switched sometime in the past three or four days. The last time the predictions showed Florida as Democratic was in August last year.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #1 on: April 07, 2016, 02:06:13 PM »
Yeah, I noticed that as well. Honestly? I think Republicans will win OH and IA before they win FL.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #2 on: April 07, 2016, 03:15:16 PM »
Grin
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #3 on: April 07, 2016, 03:15:57 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on April 07, 2016, 02:06:13 PM
Yeah, I noticed that as well. Honestly? I think Republicans will win OH and IA before they win FL.

Too many white people in Iowa for the Dems, eh?
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #4 on: April 07, 2016, 03:19:33 PM »
Wow. If Florida switches from 30% to 40%, it will be exactly the 2012 map! Shocked
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #5 on: April 07, 2016, 03:40:54 PM »
Quote from: When do you think it will all become clear? on April 07, 2016, 03:19:33 PM
Wow. If Florida switches from 30% to 40%, it will be exactly the 2012 map! Shocked

That would be some impressive 3rd party candidates if the winner of Florida didn't even get 40%.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #6 on: April 07, 2016, 03:42:22 PM »
If Trump wins the nomination, I wouldn't be surprised if NC flipped on here too.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #7 on: April 07, 2016, 03:42:22 PM »
Quote from: When do you think it will all become clear? on April 07, 2016, 03:19:33 PM
Wow. If Florida switches from 30% to 40%, it will be exactly the 2012 map! Shocked

Arkansas is currently at R >50% though, so there's still another difference.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #8 on: April 07, 2016, 03:47:44 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on April 07, 2016, 03:40:54 PM
Quote from: When do you think it will all become clear? on April 07, 2016, 03:19:33 PM
Wow. If Florida switches from 30% to 40%, it will be exactly the 2012 map! Shocked

That would be some impressive 3rd party candidates if the winner of Florida didn't even get 40%.

It's how the predictions work. As more people say that Florida is a Democratic win, it will increase. The map just looks at the predictions and takes the average with low percentages in the middle.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #9 on: April 07, 2016, 03:51:24 PM »
Meh, if Trump wins it's a Goldwaterish loss. No sense in making a prediction now.
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