Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I just realized that unless the Lib Dems do something really crazy this is going to happen before the next UK election. Hmmm that could shake things up, wonder what the situation would be if there was a majority for Labour but the majority disappeared if Scotland left.

And I'd oppose this.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Even with the gap narrowing that graphic implies to me there's not enough time left thankfully. And this is probably the sort of thing where all last minute people who make up their minds will go with "No". I'm feeling pretty pleasantly confident about this now.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Has Nate Silver made a projection yet?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

It's amazing how every poll shows such a narrow No lead. You'd expect MoE would have a fluke Yes lead or No at 55 or something.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I'm disappointed. 538 has some coverage of this, but not forecast or projection.