States without big counties

[Miles]

LA without Orleans Parish.

Landrieu would have had a point to spare in 2008, but she wouldn't have been there in the first place; Terrell would have flipped the actual margin in 2002.

Blanco would have actually held on, mostly because she overperformed in the rural parishes and Jindal weighed her down the New Orleans area anyway.

2012

Romney- 61.2%
Obama- 37.2%

2010

Vitter- 59.6%
Melancon- 34.6%

2008

McCain- 61.8%
Obama- 36.7%

Landrieu- 49.5%
Kennedy- 48.3%

2003

Blanco- 50.2%
Jindal- 49.8%

2002

Terrell- 51.7%
Landrieu- 48.3%

[Miles]

I looked at that 2003 map, and I was shocked how close Jindal came by losing the majority of white rural modern republican counties. I looked at the vote totals and saw that the rural counties did nothing (in terms of vote margins) and Jindal ran up huge numbers in Jefferson and St. Tammany parishes, and did decent (for a republican) in Orleans. Very interesting stuff.

Which is why Jindal lived in northern LA from 2003-2007 trying to convince them that he was a white man.

[Miles]

I looked at that 2003 map, and I was shocked how close Jindal came by losing the majority of white rural modern republican counties. I looked at the vote totals and saw that the rural counties did nothing (in terms of vote margins) and Jindal ran up huge numbers in Jefferson and St. Tammany parishes, and did decent (for a republican) in Orleans. Very interesting stuff.

Which is why Jindal lived in northern LA from 2003-2007 trying to convince them that he was a white man.

Is his race part of the reason he did poor in many of the rural white counties?

Which is why Jindal lived in northern LA from 2003-2007 trying to convince them that he was a white man.

[Miles]

No kidding. By the looks of it, Akin might have even lost his own congressional district to McCaskill. I don't know about the district's part of St. Louis County, but it appears that Akin lost the part of his old district outside St. Louis County by a narrow margin.

McCaskill won CD2 53/47 (per DKE's awesome database of races-by-CD).

[Miles]

Could someone do one for the WA 2012, and 2004 Governor's races?

Without King County? Or without Seattle?

Without King County:

2012
McKenna- 53.3%
Inslee- 46.7%

2004
Rossi- 52.9%
Gregoire- 44.8%
Others- 2.3%

[Miles]

IIRC, giving Shelby County, TN to MS makes it a competitive Romney state, and just giving Memphis flips Mississippi to Obama.

Idk about Memphis proper, but if you added TN-09 to MS, Romney would have still carried MS by 760 votes.

With Shelby County, Romney wins 51-48.

[Miles]

^ Adam, are both maps without Clayton County?