CA-Field Research: Hillary leads by 20+ (user search)
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  CA-Field Research: Hillary leads by 20+ (search mode)
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Author Topic: CA-Field Research: Hillary leads by 20+  (Read 4615 times)
Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

« on: May 22, 2015, 10:57:34 PM »

Makes sense. Not only has California been trending Dem the past two decades, but it's becoming more and more inelastic.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

« Reply #1 on: May 23, 2015, 03:10:21 PM »

Clinton will not win by 20; she will win the state like Kamels Harris 56-44.

Kamels Harris would like to have a word with you.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

« Reply #2 on: May 26, 2015, 09:23:38 PM »

I think Hillary will at least maintain the Obama coalition in California, which means something in the area of 60-62% statewide. I don't think any Republican candidate can even break 40% in California in 2016.

I'd tend to agree with you.

All Democrats running statewide (Brown the most noteworthy) basically didn't run general election campaigns in 2014. I think I saw one Kamels Harris ad the entire cycle. If California 2014 happened the way it did, when turnout ticks up Hillary shouldn't have a problem getting to 60%.
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