Bush 48 - Kerry 42 in Louisiana (user search)
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  Bush 48 - Kerry 42 in Louisiana (search mode)
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Author Topic: Bush 48 - Kerry 42 in Louisiana  (Read 20748 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 67,778
United Kingdom


« on: June 07, 2004, 03:21:49 AM »

48-42 seems about right... winnable for Kerry but not top-tier winnable
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,778
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2004, 11:18:11 AM »

48-42 seems about right... winnable for Kerry but not top-tier winnable

In that case Maryland, New Jersey and Minnesota are "winnable" as well.

Bush *can* win NJ or MN (don't think he will though) but the demographics of MD make it a no-no.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,778
United Kingdom


« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2004, 12:01:41 PM »

48-42 seems about right... winnable for Kerry but not top-tier winnable

In that case Maryland, New Jersey and Minnesota are "winnable" as well.

Bush *can* win NJ or MN (don't think he will though) but the demographics of MD make it a no-no.

I wish my homestate would get their better senses and go Republican for once.

The Demographics (Blacks+White Liberals) make it very unlikely, except in a landslide.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,778
United Kingdom


« Reply #3 on: June 08, 2004, 07:20:26 AM »

i read that david duke might enter the senate race in LA.
wonder what effect that might have.he normally draws double digits i think.

It wouldn't matter, it would still go to a runoff, and it would be Vitter v. Kennedy or John.

I have a question...if the top two candidates in the primary are Democrats, and they get under 50%, is there still a runoff?

Yep
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