2016 Republican Nomination Poll - September 2015 (Post-debate)

[Crumpets]

Rubio. I wish I could change my primary vote now.

You can. You just have to go here to delete your previous vote https://uselectionatlas.org/MOCK/PRESIDENT/2016R/mock.php?action=delete
and then you can vote again.

[Oak Hills]

I'm finally switching from Bush to Rubio, tho I still maintain Bush has a better shot than Trump or Cruz.

[Bigby]

Rubio. I wish I could change my primary vote now.

You can. You just have to go here to delete your previous vote https://uselectionatlas.org/MOCK/PRESIDENT/2016R/mock.php?action=delete
and then you can vote again.

Done. Thanks.

[Zanas]

It's interesting that Carson even throughout his surge has not received a single vote in any of the polls Cris has done.

Someone had to. I'm doing it. We'll just see where that goes.

[Reaganfan]

Rubio

[Donald Trump 2016 !]

Re-watching the CNN debate, I'd have to say Rubio. Even though he appears very nervous early in the debates (both Fox and CNN), he manages to get his momentum going.

He's arguably the only candidate who has performed very well in both debates that actually has a strong chance of winning the nomination. He's genuinely likable and charismatic. He managed to appear youthful and idealistic, and bold and firm when the situation called for it.

[/]

Jeb!

I'm surprised by the Marcomentum, however.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Also lol at walker on 0. My how some stars fall lmao

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

I'm sticking with Jeb.

With the exception of Trump, most of what's going on is just noise. Although some of that noise is from candidates falling out of the sky and slamming into the ground. (Walker, Perry, Paul)

Bush isn't in great shape; he's on a slow downward slope right now, but he's got enough money that he's not doomed yet. He won't be doomed until another establishment-friendly candidate (Kasich, Rubio) leaves him in the dust. Until or unless that happens, he's still my favorite to win the nomination. (Odds-wise, that is.)

Most of the candidates are un-nominatable, or non-viable in the general if they were to win the nomination. Bush's real competition is Kaisich and Rubio, with wildcard Trump zooming around hurting Bush's chances as much by wrecking the party's reputation as by out-polling or out-debating him. There are three months before Bush has to worry about defeating Trump for real. That's ages in primary time.

[Figueira]

Still Trump, but if Trump takes a hit in the polls soon, then I'll predict Rubio.

[mvd10]

Rubio
Bush
Trump
Kasich
Cruz
Fiorina
Carson


This is how I see it. Bush really needs to improve his campaign or the establishment will go to someone else, probably Rubio but maybe Kasich if he impresses and does really well in NH (he perhaps doesn't even have to win NH, but if someone like Fiorina, Carson or Trump wins NH and Kasich is the only establishment candidate close to Trump/Fiorina/Carson the establishment might go to him).

[Mercenary]

It is too volatile for me to have a clue. Fiorina or Cardon will be the flavor of the next two or three months like Trump has been for the last few and Bush before him and Waller before him (in terms of polling anyway), but I dont think they will be the nominee. Itll probably still be Bush in the end...

[Bull Moose Base]

Trump 20
Bush 15
Rubio 15
Cruz 10
Fiorina 10
Walker 8
Kasich 7
Romney 5
Carson 5
Huckabee 4
Other 1

Or...
Establishment 60
Outsider 39
none of these 10 1