KY-Bluegrass (SUSA): Grimes +1, McConnell safe in Primary

[SPC]

Considering neither candidate has had a lead outside the margin of error throughout the campaign (unlike in 2008 when McConnell consistently led Lunsford), I suspect people are too quick to write off Grimes's chances. While the common argument is that McConnell has a built-in advantage as an incumbent party leader in a friendly state in a midterm year, I would question how much of those advantages are already factored into McConnell's performance. Given McConnell's abysmal approval ratings, isn't the fact that this race is still within the margin of error a testament that McConnell's advantages are already keeping Grimes from having a significant lead?