AR-PPP: All Pubs lead Clinton

[Maxwell]

So states are starting to move back to their normal places. Good.

[Maxwell]

So states are starting to move back to their normal places. Good.

Good because you like the results or good because you like the polarized map? I find it pretty boring myself.

Good because it looked like Hillary was going to sweep everywhere with a 10% margin. It's unfortunate that we will continue to have a map that is focused on five states, but it's good Hillary won't dominate.

[Maxwell]

Confirms my belief that Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina are well above Arkansas as Democratic 2016 targets.

I don't think anybody would dispute that, even before this poll.

I'd absolutely dispute Arizona.

[Maxwell]

Confirms my belief that Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina are well above Arkansas as Democratic 2016 targets.

I don't think anybody would dispute that, even before this poll.

I'd absolutely dispute Arizona.

Arizona? Large Hispanic population to which  the GOP has nothing to offer. I have seen mixed results in the same poll. The Anglo population will eventually need to vote about 70% R for Republicans to win statewide.

Arizona is about eight years behind Colorado and Nevada, about ten years behind New Mexico, and about twenty years behind California in having a D edge instead of an R edge.   

Yes, the same Arizona that hasn't moved in the Democrats direction in years.

[Maxwell]

Confirms my belief that Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina are well above Arkansas as Democratic 2016 targets.

I don't think anybody would dispute that, even before this poll.

I'd absolutely dispute Arizona.

Arizona? Large Hispanic population to which  the GOP has nothing to offer. I have seen mixed results in the same poll. The Anglo population will eventually need to vote about 70% R for Republicans to win statewide.

Arizona is about eight years behind Colorado and Nevada, about ten years behind New Mexico, and about twenty years behind California in having a D edge instead of an R edge.   

Yes, the same Arizona that hasn't moved in the Democrats direction in years.

McCain's home state advantage kept Arizona from swing much in 2008, and the immigration controversy inhibited Obama from gaining ground there in 2012.  Clinton could be competitive in Arizona. 

She could, but that would require a total awful being the nominee like Jindal or Cruz. Running against anyone who has a single electibility cell and she loses Arizona. Maybe in a couple decades Arizona could flip, but not now.