Paul supporters from 2008 would turn to Huntsman, or even Romney before they go to Perry. Paul performed well in Nevada, and Montana. Perry is basically the stronger version of Huckabee in 2008, and will be what Romney was to McCain in 2008.
You could be right, but I've always considered Perry closer to Paul than Huckabee. He's well-positioned to take advantage of the antipathy toward the federal government that earned Paul many votes in 2008.
True, and the more moderate States Rights crowd will support him, but I cannot see Perry getting too many ex Paul votes. Perry's positions on Hillarycare and Immigration will hurt him. Paul will perform his best in this election.
In 2008, Paul was to the Right of the establishment on immigration. Now, except for birthright citizenship, he is to the Left.