Unless Trump collapses, I feel reasonably good about him winning, AZ and GA now (the current demographics will save him, but expedite them trending Dem. If he wins GA could go Democratic in 2018 instead of 2022 of instance.
MO and Indiana actually do fit Trump rather well and I think he likewise wins both. The question will be by what margins. Used to be winning GOP Presidents won Indiana by around 20%. Perhaps MO is the new Indiana of old on that score, I see Trump getting 20% there more easily than in Indiana.
Trump's problem is breaking through to 270.
GA IS NOT GOING DEM ANYTIME SOON. THIS STATE (EX ATL parts of it) IS STILL VERY REDISH. Crooked Hillary is the wrong type of candidate anyway. Bill possibly could. Grabbing guns and open boarders is a sure way to get whites in rural GA to vote in mass against you.