How well will Hillary do in Pennsylvania?
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  How well will Hillary do in Pennsylvania? 		« previous next »
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Poll
Question: How well will Hillary do in Pennsylvania?
#1
She'll win win by over 10%		  
#2
She'll win by 5%-10%		  
#3
She'll win by 1%-5%		  
#4
She'll win by less than 1%		  
#5
She'll lose Pennsylvania		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 35

Author Topic: How well will Hillary do in Pennsylvania?  (Read 487 times)
Fuzzybigfoot
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« on: March 29, 2015, 03:18:09 PM »
I'm going with 5%-10%.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #1 on: March 29, 2015, 03:22:56 PM »
Probably option 2.

Pennsylvania will likely remain slightly to the left of the national average, so if she wins the popular vote by 5%, she'll probably carry PA by 6 or 7%.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: March 29, 2015, 03:23:50 PM »
Better than Obama 2012, worse than Obama 2008. So option 2.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: March 29, 2015, 05:57:10 PM »
5-8 point spread, enough to have Downballot races tobe affected by her coattails.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: March 29, 2015, 06:04:24 PM »

Romney's coattails probably did help Berg a bit. If it was just a straight election with those two, Heitkamp probably would've won by a bigger margin.

But yeah, coattails are unpredictable. Sometimes they have a huge effect (ex: NV 2014), sometimes there's none whatsoever (ex: NJ 2013). There's really no way to know for sure.
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Former Democrat
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« Reply #5 on: March 30, 2015, 09:37:17 AM »
something like 53/46 Hillary
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