UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Utah voters don't like Trump, only leads Hillary by 9

[pbrower2a]

I can't use it on the map. But this is consistent with a dismal (for Utah) lead of Trump over Clinton). 

[pbrower2a]

I can't use it on the map. But this is consistent with a dismal (for Utah) lead of Trump over Clinton). 

Why can't you use it?

In a binary split, nobody goes above 40. Too many undecided

39+28 = 67.

[pbrower2a]

Mormons will vote Democratic if the LDS hierarchy tells them to do so.

I'm not trying to predict what the LDS hierarchy will say, let alone whether Donald Trump will get the nomination. But it is possible to offend even some of the most reliable constituencies of a Party, and there will be consequences.

Non-Mormons in Utah vote like Californians, so even a 50-50 split among Mormons would be a disaster for the GOP in Utah.