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May 14, 2024, 06:20:08 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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Cashew
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« on: June 25, 2017, 06:54:28 PM »
« edited: June 25, 2017, 09:14:14 PM by Radical Republican »

I'm curious, how different do you think your outlook would have been if we had a narrow Clinton victory? Or a weak Clinton landslide, winning Arizona and Georgia?
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Cashew
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Posts: 2,572
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« Reply #1 on: August 19, 2017, 02:28:37 PM »



This is my rough expectations. I think I have too many swing states, it seems a tad too Democratic-leaning, and I'm not sure about CO, MT, AK, HI, and UT.

That map might be spot on if if shows the trends, but I think the change is too radical. Assuming TD's theory is correct I can see something like this being the map in the late 2030s:



Those are maps for civil unrest, not Democratic dominance.
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Cashew
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Posts: 2,572
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« Reply #2 on: August 19, 2017, 03:21:44 PM »

Those are maps for civil unrest, not Democratic dominance.
Because those maps don't show that, they both look pretty competitive between the two parties.

It's not truly a realignment if Democrats are disadvantaged in the senate.
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