Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)

[Mr. Morden]

Caucuses begin at 7pm local time, which is 8pm Eastern.  That’s when the networks will release their entrance poll.  The real results should start trickling in about 30-40 minutes later.

CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ia/Dem

Des Moines Register: http://data.desmoinesregister.com/iowa-caucus/results/index.php

[Mr. Morden]

Where the candidates will be on caucus night:

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/where-each-candidate-will-be-on-iowa-caucus-night-218483?lo=ap_c2

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[Mr. Morden]

CBS News is already releasing some of the entrance poll #s:

https://twitter.com/CBSPolitics

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[Mr. Morden]

https://twitter.com/CBSPolitics

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[Mr. Morden]

https://twitter.com/CBSPolitics

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[Mr. Morden]

CBS has Clinton leading the entrance poll:

https://twitter.com/CBSPolitics

[Mr. Morden]

When will actual results start trickling in?

Based on past caucuses, results should start coming in about 30-40 minutes after the top of the hour, or between 10 and 20 minutes from now.

[Mr. Morden]

Entrance polls:

Sanders with 85% of voters under 30.  Clinton with 70% of voters over 65.

Sanders tied with Clinton in eastern Iowa, while Clinton leads in western and central Iowa.

Sanders does best in urban areas and weakest in suburban areas.

[Mr. Morden]

From Nate Cohn on Twitter:

[Mr. Morden]

What happens if it's a tie? A coin flip? lol

Nothing, I think. They'd both get the same amount of delegates out of Iowa.

Yeah, they could tie in delegates, and there'd be no need to do a coin flip.  The state doesn't have to have a "winner".  They can just send an equal number of delegates to the DNC.

[Mr. Morden]

Wolf Blitzer says "much more" of their Iowa coverage is coming up.  "Much" more?  Just how many more hours are they going to keep going?

[Mr. Morden]

Looks like Clinton won more of the Obama '08 counties while Sanders won more of the Clinton '08 counties:

[Mr. Morden]

Among whites, Bernie is the beer track and Clinton the wine track candidate now.

Yep.  This is a switch from several months ago, when Sanders was getting more support among upper income whites.  In the entrance poll tonight, he won lower income voters while Clinton won upper income voters.

[Mr. Morden]

Btw, on CNN about 10 minutes ago, they got a statement out of the Iowa Dem. Party, which basically said that even if the one remaining precinct goes 100% for Sanders, Clinton still wins (barely) in state delegate equivalents.