UK local by-elections 2013

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

Time for a new thread for this.  The Holy Word is out for tomorrow's first four by-elections of the new year:

Fenland, Hill (C defending)
Lambeth, Brixton Hill (Lab defending)
Wirral, Heswall (C defending)
Wirral, Leasowe and Moreton East (Lab defending)

[You kip if you want to...]

As far as local elections can be, Leasowe seems to have been quite bitter. Very marginal.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Fenland, Hill

hahahahaha

[ObserverIE]

I see your Hill and raise you the Mountain of Heaven.

[YL]

As far as I can tell the highest point in Hill ward is 5 metres above sea level.

[minionofmidas]

"Strontium Dog"?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

"Strontium Dog"?

That was the guy's username on said former forum for whatever reason. It was a reference to some crappy British sci-fi from the 1950s or something, I think. I always found him to be a right dickhead, not that that's at all relevant.

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

Fenland, Hill

hahahahaha

I have been reliably informed that Hill ward was actually named after Octavia Hill, who was born in Wisbech.

[ObserverIE]

Fenland, Hill

Con 59.7 (+3.2)
Lab 20.6 (-7.4)
Ind 19.7 (+19.7)

Wirral, Heswall

Con 58.8 (-3.9)
UKIP 21.6 (+12.2)
Lab 13.6 (-4.2)
Green 5.2 (-0.7)
TUSC 0.9 (+0.9)

Wirral, Leasowe and Moreton East

Con 50.5 (+7.2)
Lab 42.2 (-8.8 )
UKIP 4.6 (+1.1)
TUSC 1.0 (+1.0)
Lib Dem 0.9 (+0.9)
Green 0.9 (-1.3)

Lambeth, Brixton Hill

Lab 62.6 (+19.7)
Green 13.5 (-2.2)
Lib Dem 10.8 (-18.3)
Con 6.4 (-5.9)
TUSC 2.8 (+2.8 )
UKIP 2.5 (+2.5)
SPGB 1.3 (+1.3)

[minionofmidas]

Leasowe? Yowza.

[You kip if you want to...]

Leasowe? Yowza.

The Wallasey Tories are very well organised compared to Labour in the constituency, from what I can tell. I live in the bordering ward on the other side of the M53. I know plenty of solid Labour voters who'd never dream of voting Tory at a general who vote for the local Tories (Labour won 52-30 here at the 2010 locals, basically mirrored the Wallasey GE result). Their councillors always seem a lot more visible (but that's just my observation), although Angela Eagle seems to be popular so I imagine she's built up quite the personal vote over the years. The Tory candidate here was an ex-councillor as well.

Still, the ward doesn't really fit what I'd imagine to be easy territory for the Tories all that much. The Labour candidate was a local celebrity as well. I didn't realise until last night, my parents know her. Goes to show how well organised Wallasey Labour is really, I'm a member who lives two minutes away in the bordering constituency and I didn't know who was standing for us...

Heswall, on the other hand, needs no explanation if anyone knows anything about the West Wirral coast. Definitely the kind've place where UKIP will be seeing surges in support.

[joevsimp]

Out of interest, what were the votes for the LDs and Greens in Leaslowe?

[You kip if you want to...]

Out of interest, what were the votes for the LDs and Greens in Leaslowe?

28 each.

[minionofmidas]

Definitely the kind've place where UKIP will be seeing surges in support.

I'd frankly expected them to be polling higher, although I guess that too should be put down to Wirral Conservatives "doing a good job".

Also, lol at TUSC beating the LDs in Leasowe, I overlooked that the first time!

[ObserverIE]

Sedgemoor, Highbridge and Burnham Marine

Lib Dem 30.6 (+1.9)
Con 23.3 (+0.2)
Ind Williams 20.5
Lab 20.1 (+1.5)
Ind Watkins 5.5

Herefordshire, Ross-on-Wye West

Con 54.4 (+23.6)
Ind 24.4
Lib Dem 21.1 (-9.8 )

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

Tonight's Holy Word is out, in two parts.

Dudley, Wollaston and Stourbridge Town (C defending)

Bridgend, Bryncoch (Lab defending)

[ObserverIE]

Bridgend, Bryncoch

Lab 62.5 (-11.7)
PC 15.2 (+15.2)
Ind Cullen 11.5
Lib Dem 6.8 (-19.0)
Ind Quick 3.9

Dudley, Wollaston and Stourbridge Town

Lab 35.8 (-3.1)
Con 33.3 (+1.2)
UKIP 10.5 (+0.2)
Lib Dem 7.1 (-6.0)
Ind 8.9
BNP 4.1 (+4.1)
Green 0.3 (-5.3)

[Leftbehind]

Appalling Green result. A nice gain for Labour to offset that loss of theirs a fortnight ago. You wouldn't be able to tell from that result it was Con/Lib marginal pre-coalition.

[joevsimp]

ffs, on our new deputy leader's patch as well, we really need to loosen up target to win when it comes to byelections like this

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

The Holy Word for tomorrow.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The Forest and Hammersmith: very Potterish.

[ObserverIE]

Forest of Dean, Berry Hill

Lab 59.7 (+4.5)
Con 21.9 (-22.9)
UKIP 18.4 (+18.4)

Hammersmith and Fulham, Wormholt and White City

Lab 66.9 (+6.1)
Con 11.8 (-11.6)
Lib Dem 9.9 (-5.9)
UKIP 5.8 (+5.8 )
Ind 3.5 (+3.5)
BNP 2.1 (+2.1)

Stockton-on-Tees, Village

Thornaby Ind 61.2 (+7.3)
Lab 20.6 (-11.4)
UKIP 10.3 (+10.3)
Con 6.5 (-4.7)
Lib Dem 1.4 (-1.6)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Excellent result in Berry Hill. With numbers like that Labour stand a good chance of taking the West Dean division in the County Council elections.

[Leftbehind]

Both the FoD and H&F were strong for Labour. Although equally the Stockton result was terrible.

[YL]

Holy Word for today's crop in England, which are:

Gainsborough East (West Lindsey)
Perton East (South Staffordshire)
Dawley Magna (Telford & Wrekin)

Plus there's one in Scotland with a preview by Kris Keane: Rutherglen South (South Lanarkshire).