The Al Realpolitik Institute of Sulfur Mining & Extraction

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I never thought I'd be put in an entry from this poster (though he doesn't seem to know how to quote properly so I'll fix the quotes here):

You missed the corollary to that rule:

Never trust just one poll.  Trust several and remember that the electorate changes its mind quickly.

Dear God, just shut up.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

More and more I think the Republican Party has things it can learn from the Forum on how to be more successful in the War on Women.

Good lord man, what happened to your testicles?   

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I'm double posting this because it both has a very funny part and a very brutal part.

Uh, JJ, you do realize that virtually every other pollster has shown Obama with a bigger lead in Ohio than PPP, right?

I have not trusted a mail poll since 1936.  

I'm not crazy about those Uni polls for Ohio.  

J.J. I'm channelling The Professor here. Your assignment: Compare and contrast the polling methodology used by Literary Digest in 1936 vs. The Columbus Dispatch in the last several elections. Please reference the relative accuracy or inaccuracy of each poll relative to the final results.

Optional assignment: Quit hacking with grossly mismatched historical analogies.

Failing either will not help you get girls.

[Kung Fu Kenny]

Between Clarence, Jas, and Alfie here I'm ready to give up on this forum's male population........ugh

The rest of us did that when you registered.

[Napoleon]

Don't you mean "erases Barack's lead"? Your headline makes it sound like Romney's winning in a landslide.

I think most people would understand that to "erase a lead" implies pulling even, not a landslide.

Which is exactly why he said it should say "erases Barack's lead" instead of what Naso actually posted that is "erases Barack". I guess reading comprehension isn't something tested for MENSA membership.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

What Alcon said. A C-list actress endorsed Romney and some people acted like jerks on the internet. That's news?

Some of the reaction is interesting.

What?  No it's not.  People are jerks on the Internet and this is news to you?  Are you still using free AOL CDs too?

[Lief 🗽]

Someone needs to make an "Alcon responds to J.J.'s ridiculous statements" anthology.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

This is my all time favorite:

haha J. J.

The two polls with Romney leads were in October, well after the Bachmann surge.

Your claim again, was:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

But, really, keep digging this hole, it's fantastic.

I missed those two and was looking at the end.  Somebody was jumping up, I thought it was Bachman.  

By Bachman, you mean Bachmann.

By two, you mean five.

By "Somebody was jumping up, I thought it was Bachman," you mean, "man, I really made myself look like a grade-A schmuck."

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I find "elite" institutions of higher learning in the United States terribly overrated as they largely cater to a demographic that by-large is predominantly narcissistic, willfully ignorant, self-absorbed, and concerned with enhancing their meaningless social status amongst their equally superficial and vapid peers. An entirely unsurprising outcome as the college admissions process in the United States largely rewards a mixture of privilege, entitlement, brown-nosing, lack of intellectual curiosity, and really anything they can find that isn't academic achievement.

Someone sounds like a true leftist.

[Lief 🗽]

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/11/mitt-romney-health-insurance_n_1957419.html

While it's difficult to tell how many people die each year from lack of health insurance, one study, from a health care advocacy group, puts the number at 26,000 deaths per year.

That study confuses cause and effect.

Ah I get it. People don't have health insurance because they've died. That makes sense.

[Phony Moderate]

Why are you guys letting this clown game the system?

Sorry to offend you, "Grumps".... by the way, do they let 53 year old in nursing homes now?

[courts]

I personally will defer to our resident Libya expert on that particular question. Vosem did, after all, humiliate a (liebiral) school teacher on this very issue.

[RI]

Sure, but the address is 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, Washington, DA and Mitt and family will be moving in on 1/20/13.

Zing!

Or would have been if Washington, DA were an actual place. The C and A aren't even next to each other on the keyboard so you must be dyslexic

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

It says a lot when even Mister Twister can get one of those in against J. J.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Please include your real names in your post so we have a permanent record for your future employment/political aspirations.  K?  Thx.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I'm double posting in this and the Good Post Gallery:

As always, J. J., you are almost totally wrong, but have found one thing that you will inevitably latch onto, to pretend you're actually competent in what you're discussing.  Let's begin!

No, but unless the guy was a letter carrier or a a public official, he had no obligation to deliver them.  Simply put, it is not legal to draft people into the US Postal Service.

Wrong in every state I know of, wrong in Virginia.  To wit: "If any person (i) agrees to mail or deliver a signed voter registration application to the voter registrar or other appropriate person authorized to receive the application and (ii) intentionally interferes with the applicant's effort to register either by destroying the application or by failing to mail or deliver the application in a timely manner, he shall be guilty of a Class 1 misdemeanor."  If I function as a voter registrar in a way that suggests to voters that I will turn in their application for them, and don't, I am guilty of a crime -- in Washington, in Virginia.  I have been doing voter reg for a while now, bro, and everyone knows this.

As to why, because they were duplicates, or at least he thought most of them were.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/worker-for-gop-hired-contractor-charged-with-dumping-va-voter-registration-forms/2012/10/19/86062d7a-19f1-11e2-ad4a-e5a958b60a1e_story.html

There is no indication there that Mr. Small thought they were duplicates -- just that they were.  That article doesn't even say Mr. Small was claiming that.  Also, read it more carefully.  Three of the eight voters were already registered.  One wasn't, but was a felon (did Mr. Small run felony background checks?)  Four were new voters and not duplicates.  Mr. Small is responsible for nearly disenfranchising four people, and there is no reason to assume he knew the other four applications were moot.

The line I assume you'll draw on to defend Mr. Small's applications is this: "If any person intentionally solicits multiple registrations from any one person or intentionally falsifies a registration application, he shall be guilty of a Class 5 felony."  That line does not prohibit submitting applications for those already registered.  It prohibits soliciting someone to register multiple times -- something that submitting a voter registration when you're already registered won't do.  People do that all the time.

Only if the person is a hired third party, which he was.  If someone hands you a voter registration form, and you are not an official (or a letter carrier), you have no obligation to do anything with it.

Demonstrably false.  I doubt that's even true in Pennsylvania.

[Franzl]

J.J.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I think I'll trust someone who actually knows what they're talking about when it comes to early vote statistics over someone who thinks the Bradley Effect was a thing that happened in 2008, thanks JJ.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

http://news.yahoo.com/mccain-voters-defecting-obama-older-white-males-051258438.html

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This article is so idiotic that I don't know where to begin.  72% are white?  That's actually slightly less than the overall voting population, if we take the 2008 exit poll at face value.  And certainly less white than the racial mix for McCain voters.  34% are 55 or older?  Well, again, that's about the same as the exit poll for all voters, and actually probably younger than the average McCain voter.  This group of defectors is apparently neither more white nor older than the average McCain voter, yet the article is titled "McCain voters defecting to Obama are older white males".  55% are male?  OK, that's more than the average ratio for McCain voters, but not by a huge margin.  And the margin of error is going to be big, because this is a small sample of all the people polled.

Sheesh.  Reuters fails Math 101.

[Paul Kemp]

J.J's arguement dismantled...

I know many find this hard to believe but President Obama is in over his head and people across this country are realizing that it is time to put someone in there who actually knows what he's doing.

The problem is, nothing indicates that Romney knows how to run a government.

He ran a state, a business and the Olympics. 

The last two are irrelevant.  (Indeed, based on prior examples, knowing how to run a business has typically been an indicator for being a bad president,)  As for State government, past experience has shown that gubernatorial experience is no guarantee of being a good President.  Granted, Cleveland, both Roosevelts, Reagan, and Clinton were governors, but so were Jefferson, Andrew Johnson, Wilson, Coolidge, Carter, and Dubya, so it certainly does not indicate things will be smooth.  Since state governments typically have far more restrictions what they can do, saying a good governor will be a good president is like saying someone who is a good enough driver to get a safe-driver discount will also be a good enough driver to win the NASCAR Sprint Cup.

Romney has shown himself too eager to say whatever he thinks will be good politics without bothering to determine if it will be good policy, and if were to actually do everything he says he would do in the foreign policy arena, he'll easily combine the worst aspects of Wilson and Hoover in one administration.  (Granted I don't think he'll actually do what he says he would do, which is good in that it would be a disaster, but is also bad in that it means foreign governments will not be able to place any trust in Romney doing what he says, )

[Insula Dei]

A very good reason to leave the UN. 

You're absolutely correct, it is vitally important that the United States prevents international election monitors from observing American elections.

The United States should withdraw from the United Nations, because the OSCE (a body which is neither funded, nor takes direction from, the UN) is going to conduct election monitoring in one of its member states - an action it has engaged in in its member states for many years; an action it has engaged in in the US on a number of previous occasions (and actually welcomed by administrations under both parties); an action the US agreed to explicitly by virtue of assent to the Paris Charter (1990).

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That the UN hasn't intervened to stop this travesty is truly shameful and appalling. Withdrawal from that organisation is therefore a perfectly reasonably and proportional response. (Presumably seeing as how the OSCE is the actual organisation that has approved, organised and funded the monitoring, their HQ should be blown up or some such, amirite?)
 
By denying international election monitors the right to observe American elections (in line with the principles of the OSCE Charter agreed to by the US), the Amercian Government can send a strong signal to marginal democratic regimes around the world that foreign observers are actually a danger to democracy and should not be tolerated - even after the Government has committed by international agreement, and through past practice, to allowing such observers.

Kudos to you JJ on yet another cojent and insightful contribution to the Forum.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

This is now basically the "Brutal Ownage of J. J. Mine"

[Franzl]

This is now basically the "Brutal Ownage of J. J. Mine"

As almost anyone is capable of owning J.J.

[Paul Kemp]

This is now basically the "Brutal Ownage of J. J. Mine"

This may actually be the true deluge.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I love this because of how krazen so painted himself into a corner with the Stormfront language:

Registered Democrat 96% 3% 1% 235
Registered Undeclared 80% 11% 9% 295
Registered Republican 90% 4% 6% 207



Lol, junk. This poll does not reflect the war on whites.

krazen, in which universe are Democrats waging a "war on whites?" Think carefully; the answer is not 'reality' or 'this one.'

To quote you liberals and use your logic:

The universe in which a half dozen national pollsters have whites voting Republican by 20 points.



Obviously then, this poll is absurd due to a heavy mispolling of whites. Republicans have a large edge in voter registration in New Hampshire.

Mhm. So that means Republicans are waging a war on blacks, Hispanics, and Vermont, among others. Thank you for clarifying.