Any predictions for Guadagno Murphy in NJ?

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

Wrt Morris I've said this before but I would wager there's a fairly significant number of people who are willing to vote D presidentially (particularly when its likely they'll be checked by an R congress) but would never vote D for Trenton bc of state D's association with "ghetto" (i.e. Newark, Paterson, etc, i.e. black/Hispanic) voters and bc there won't be an R legislature to check a tax-happy D governor. This was borne out last year when Trump got under 50% in Morris and it was the closest margin in likely decades. But doubt it will be seen again this year. But between Christie's horrid unpopularity and Guadagno getting blanched across the state I could see a very narrow Murphy win if the county's typical Republican base just doesn't show