Military Estimates on Russia-Georgia Conflict? (user search)
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  Military Estimates on Russia-Georgia Conflict? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Military Estimates on Russia-Georgia Conflict?  (Read 2067 times)
Bunwahaha [still dunno why, but well, so be it]
tsionebreicruoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
France


« on: August 09, 2008, 01:57:33 PM »

Is there any possibility that other foreign nations may get involved?

This is just the most important part of the story.
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Bunwahaha [still dunno why, but well, so be it]
tsionebreicruoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
France


« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2008, 02:58:19 PM »

Is there any possibility that other foreign nations may get involved?

No. The US is tied down in Iraq and has diplomatic worries abroad (but the US supports Georgia diplomatically, for sure). I doubt any European country would want to intervene directly against Russia. Ukraine, depsite Yushchenko being close to Saakashvili, will certainly not intervene, because Russia is a threatening power to Ukraine. I'm not sure what Putin's Belorussian clone is doing in this situation.
Essentially the only powers I could see getting involved are Azerbajian, Turkey(if Adjara revolts) and perhaps Armenia.

For real I think that no one not directly threatened by a direct involvement in the conflict would move until US say what they do. I would be surprised that US intervene too, but NATO rethoric is the totally opposite of the Russia one. Russia says: "Ossetia is no more part of Georgia" and NATO says: "The sovereignty of Georgia must be respected". Diplomacy can still rule the conflict but the ways to do so are tiny.
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Bunwahaha [still dunno why, but well, so be it]
tsionebreicruoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,385
France


« Reply #2 on: August 10, 2008, 03:16:31 AM »
« Edited: August 10, 2008, 03:32:04 AM by 我寻找感觉和方向 »

Russians are a low-morale, poorly trained, conscript force is likely to keep it closer than it would otherwise be.

These is forgetting all their experiences of the 2 wars in Chechnya.
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