UK local by-elections 2013

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

Golcar looks interesting.

Any idea why Pontrilas ward is named after a village which isn't in it?

Relics of an old Rural District Council?

Apparently not.  In 1931 much of this ward was covered by Ross and Whitchurch RDC.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

In fairness, you don't want to have to call a ward 'Much Birch', do you?

So, victory for 'Wizard Wonky'.

[ObserverIE]

In fairness, you don't want to have to call a ward 'Much Birch', do you?

Would it not appeal to the Laura Norder wing of the Tory party?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Though, traditionally, that type of Tory is pretty rare in Herefordshire.

[ObserverIE]

Lib Dems Winning Here (for values of "Here" equal to Pennine villages).

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word

Lambeth, Vassall

Lab 59.8 (+15.9)
Lib Dem 21.2 (-14.0)
Con 6.9 (-4.6)
Green 5.1 (-4.3)
UKIP 3.9 (+3.9)
TUSC 2.0 (+2.0)
SPGB 1.0 (+1.0)

Wakefield, Horbury and South Ossett

Lab 39.8 (-0.7)
UKIP 32.8 (+22.3)
Con 19.3 (-3.5)
Lib Dem 8.1 (-0.2)

(The UKIP candidate had taken 17.8% of the vote as an independent last May.)

St Helens, Billinge and Seneley Green

Lab 50.7 (-12.6)
UKIP 24.0 (+24.0)
Con 13.4 (-5.4)
Green 5.1 (+0.2)
BNP 4.0 (+4.0)
Lib Dem 2.8 (+2.8)

Bracknell Forest, Winkfield and Cranbourne

Con 52.5 (-18.5)
UKIP 28.7 (+28.7)
Lab 12.5 (-1.6)
Lib Dem 6.2 (+6.2)

Central Bedfordshire, Caddington

Con 39.6 (-31.7)
Ind 30.0
UKIP 17.9 (+17.9)
Lab 11.2 (-7.4)
Lib Dem 1.3 (-8.8)

Highland, Landward Caithness (changes in italics since May 2013 by-election)

Ind Reiss 44.4
Ind Sutherland 22.9
SNP 21.1 (+5.6) (-0.2)
Con 6.6 (+3.5) (-1.6)
Ind Irvine 4.9

Ind Reiss gains Landward Caithness from SNP

[minionofmidas]

Reiss was elected on the fourth count, which means he didn't do too great on Con and least indy transfers (since 2nd indy+SNP must have overtaken him on their eliminations.)

Also, "Reiss" sounds German to me but is in fact a place name in the ward.

[ObserverIE]

Reiss was elected on the fourth count, which means he didn't do too great on Con and least indy transfers (since 2nd indy+SNP must have overtaken him on their eliminations.)

One of the quirks of STV/AV à l'Ecosse is that the count doesn't finish until all candidates have exceeded the quota, so even if Reiss had more votes than the two other remaining candidates eliminations would continue until he had 50% + 1 of all votes (including exhausted ones).

[Filuwaúrdjan]

(The UKIP candidate had taken 17.8% of the vote as an independent last May.)

And is a former Tory councillor for the ward. The ward is in that strange part of Yorkshire that used to be called the Heavy Woollen District.

David Peace is from Ossett, incidentally.

[minionofmidas]

Reiss was elected on the fourth count, which means he didn't do too great on Con and least indy transfers (since 2nd indy+SNP must have overtaken him on their eliminations.)

One of the quirks of STV/AV à l'Ecosse is that the count doesn't finish until all candidates have exceeded the quota, so even if Reiss had more votes than the two other remaining candidates eliminations would continue until he had 50% + 1 of all votes (including exhausted ones).

Ah, my bad.

Heck, they might just as well go whole hog and count until the real last-two count.

[ObserverIE]

Reiss was elected on the fourth count, which means he didn't do too great on Con and least indy transfers (since 2nd indy+SNP must have overtaken him on their eliminations.)

One of the quirks of STV/AV à l'Ecosse is that the count doesn't finish until all candidates have exceeded the quota, so even if Reiss had more votes than the two other remaining candidates eliminations would continue until he had 50% + 1 of all votes (including exhausted ones).

Ah, my bad.

Heck, they might just as well go whole hog and count until the real last-two count.

A count in which the runner-up is eliminated and only one candidate remains is bizarre but seems to happen frequently.

[YL]

This week's Holy Word comes in English, Welsh and Scottish sections.

Yes, there is another by-election in Ancoats & Clayton ward in Manchester, less than two months after the last one; perhaps the Pirates can have one more push and beat the Tories this time (there were three votes in it in October).  And yes, there is a ward in Cardiff called Splott.

[ObserverIE]

Nuneaton, Arbury

Con 40.4 (+7.7)
Lab 37.7 (-19.6)
UKIP 11.1 (+11.1)
Green 5.7 (-4.3)
TUSC 0.8 (+0.8)
Eng Dem 0.6 (+0.6)

Liverpool, Riverside (changes in italics since July 2012 by-election)

Lab 70.9 (-10.5) (-5.9)
Green 9.7 (+3.9) (+0.9)
UKIP 8.0 (+8.0) (+8.0)
Lib Dem 4.3 (+4.3) (-0.1)
TUSC 3.3 (-) (-3.0)
Con 2.6 (-1.6) (-1.2)
Eng Dem 0.6 (-2.5) (+0.6)
Ind Cooney 0.5
Ind Goudie 0.1

(Goudie got exactly one vote.)

Glasgow, Shettleston

Lab 53.5 (-7.0)
SNP 28.7 (-2.2)
Con 5.9 (+1.9)
UKIP 3.4 (+3.4)
TUSC 1.8 (+1.8)
Lib Dem 1.4 (+0.7)
Ind Flanagan 1.3
Green 1.1 (-0.4)
Scottish Socialist 0.9 (+0.9)
Christian 0.9 (+0.9)
Britannica 0.8 (+0.8)
SDA 0.2 (+0.2)

Cardiff, Riverside

Lab 50.3 (+3.2)
PC 34.7 (+4.4)
Con 4.8 (-3.4)
UKIP 4.4 (+4.4)
TUSC 3.1 (+0.1)
Lib Dem 2.6 (-1.3)

Cardiff, Splott

Lab 39.7 (-10.0)
Lib Dem 34.0 (+6.4)
UKIP 11.7 (+11.7)
Ind 5.3
Con 4.8 (+0.4)
TUSC 4.5 (+4.5)

Dartford, Swanscombe

Lab 29.7 (+8.4)
Swanscombe & Greenhithe Residents 29.6 (-35.6)
UKIP 21.7 (+8.2)
Ind 15.0
Con 4.1 (+4.1)

Chelmsford, South Woodham - Elmwood and Woodville

South Woodham Ferrers Ind 31.4 (-5.2)
Con 30.8 (-17.3)
UKIP 27.9 (+27.9)
Lab 7.3 (-1.5)
Lib Dem 2.7 (-3.8)

Manchester, Ancoats and Clayton (changes in italics since Oct 2013 by-election)

Lab 57.5 (-16.8) (-13.0)
Lib 13.1 (+13.1) (+13.1)
UKIP 8.2 (+8.2) (-1.2)
Green 6.3 (-2.3) (+1.2)
Con 4.5 (-2.4) (-0.2)
Pirate 4.3 (+1.3) (-0.2)
BNP 2.7 (+2.7) (-0.6)
Lib Dem 1.8 (-2.2) (-0.7)
TUSC 1.0 (-2.3) (+1.0)
Comm League 0.5 (+0.5) (+0.5)

Con gain Arbury from Lab
Lab gain Swanscombe from SGRA
SWFI gain South Woodham - Elmwood and Woodville from Con

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The whole vicious winter storm thing will obviously had an impact on turnouts (and so also results), but the Nuneaton result is a surprise even given that. Particularly given that it does not exactly fit in with recent electoral patterns in the area either.

[doktorb]

Labour gained Swanscombe by one vote.

[minionofmidas]

This week's Holy Word comes in English, Welsh and Scottish sections.

This "Welsh" section appears to be in English.

[doktorb]

This week's Holy Word comes in English, Welsh and Scottish sections.

This "Welsh" section appears to be in English.

This is from Google Translate, so therefore almost certainly entirely wrong, but regardless -

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[YL]

Not "Glan-afon"?

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

The semi-official Welsh ward names are
Riverside = Glan-yr-afon
Splott = Y Sblot

I saw my Cardiff councillor friend today.  He tells me that redistricting is in process in Cardiff at the moment, and Riverside is unlikely to survive the process (and given that he's writing the Lib Dem submission to the LGBCW he should know).

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word here:

South Bucks, Iver Village and Railings Park

Con 46.9 (-11.6)
UKIP 41.9 (+41.9)
Lib Dem 11.2 (-30.3)

Warwickshire, Bedworth West

Lab 62.6 (+4.6)
Con 24.4 (-2.7)
UKIP 9.8 (+9.8)
TUSC 3.2 (-3.4)

Richmondshire, Hornby Castle (seat uncontested at last local elections; changes since Oct 2012 by-election)

Con 46.2 (-5.3)
Ind 35.6 (-1.5)
UKIP 18.2 (+18.2)

Con gain Iver Village and Railings Park from Lib Dem

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Yeah, the Bedworth result is more typical of recent patterns in that part of Warwickshire.

[minionofmidas]

Ooh, a by-election in Catraeth?

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

I wasn't entirely sure whether to include Catraeth in the preview.  Catterick itself is a separate ward.

[ObserverIE]

Holy word here.

Bolton, Harper Green

Lab 51.9 (-21.1)
Con 22.7 (+5.5)
UKIP 17.6 (+17.6)
Green 4.2 (+4.2)
Lib Dem 3.7 (-6.1)

Fenland, Elm and Christchurch

Con 43.9 (-7.3)
UKIP 34.1 (+34.1)
Ind 10.6 (-9.3)
Lab 7.4 (-11.5)
Lib Dem 3.9 (-6.2)

West Sussex, Haywards Heath East

Con 35.5 (+2.1)
UKIP 31.5 (+4.1)
Lab 18.9 (-2.5)
Lib Dem 11.0 (-6.9)
Green 3.0 (+3.0)

Forest Heath, Market

Con 50.3 (-20.1)
UKIP 49.7 (+49.7)

Lincolnshire, Scotter Rural

Lib Dem 49.2 (+26.3)
Con 23.6 (-18.4)
UKIP 17.9 (-7.1)
Lincs Ind 9.3 (+9.3)

Mid Sussex, Haywards Heath Franklands

Con 45.6 (-14.8)
UKIP 29.6 (+29.6)
Lab 11.3 (-2.5)
Lib Dem 10.0 (-15.8)
Green 3.4 (+3.4)

Torfaen, Croesyceiliog North

Lab 45.8 (-14.4)
UKIP 24.6 (+24.6)
Ind 15.9 (-4.9)
Con 11.1 (-7.9)
PC 2.6 (+2.6)

West Lindsey, Scotter

Ind 51.2
Con 21.2 (-31.0)
Lib Dem 14.3 (-2.3)
UKIP 13.3 (+13.3)

Highland, Black Isle

Ind Barclay 32.7 (+5.9)
SNP 14.3 (-0.2)
Ind Fraser 12.5
Lib Dem 10.9 (-4.4)
Ind Phillips 9.0
Green 8.8 (+1.9)
Lab 6.0 (+0.9)
Con 5.8 (+2.5)

Lib Dem gain Scotter Rural from Con
Ind gain Scotter from Con

[Supersonic]

Watching UKIP fail to win any by-election is so, so refreshing.