2016 Congressional Primaries

[/]

Anyone have information on the AR runoff?

Per http://m.thecabin.net/news/2016-03-01/arkansas-results-election-2016#gsc.tab=0, only one state house race is in need of a runoff. Court runoffs are held in November since they are nonpartisan offices.

Well that's boring.

I'm about to have the March 15 stuff in, so hang tight, everyone (if anyone is still reading this thread).

[/]

Alright, AL is done. I'm going to try to finish AR and TX today, maybe MS too if I have time.

[/]

Finally finished Texas! AL, AR, TX, and MS are now all done. Still working on IL, OH, and NC.

There will be four congressional primary runoffs in Texas on May 24. They are:

CD-15 (R) - Tim Westley & Ruben O. Villarreal
CD-15 (D) - Vicente Gonzales & Juan "Sonny" Palacios Jr.
CD-18 (R) - Lori Bartley & Reggie Gonzales
CD-19 (R) - Glen Robertson & Jodi Arrington

The CD-15 (D) and CD-19 (R) runoffs will most likely be the only ones to actually determine who wins those seats in November, while the winners of CD-15 (R) and CD-18 (R) will likely lose in November regardless.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Results for the AR runoffs today (polls close at 8:30 Eastern): http://m.4029tv.com/politics/arkansas-general-primary-runoff-march-2016-results-local-races-included/38613660

[/]

✓ Illinois - March 15

Official Election Results (Chicago Tribune)


United States Senate - Republican Primary



✓ Mark Kirk - 70.6%
James Marter - 29.4%

United States Senate - Democratic Primary



✓ Tammy Duckworth - 64.4%
Andrea Zopp - 24.0%
Napoleon Harris - 11.6%


United States House of Representatives - District 1 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ August Deuser - 73.8%
Jimmy Lee Tillman - 26.2%

Democratic Party:

✓ Bobby Rush - 71.4%
Howard Brookins - 19.3%
Patrick Brutus - 9.3%


United States House of Representatives - District 2 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ John Morrow - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Robin Kelly - 73.9%
Marcus Lewis - 16.1%
Charles Rayburn - 6.1%
Dorian Myrickes - 3.8%


United States House of Representatives - District 3 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ No Candidate

Democratic Party:

✓ Dan Lipinski - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 4 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ No Candidate

Democratic Party:

✓ Luis Gutierrez - 75.2%
Javier Salas - 24.8%


United States House of Representatives - District 5 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ No Candidate

Democratic Party:

✓ Mike Quigley - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 6 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Peter Roskam - 68.8%
Jay Kinzler - 31.2%

Democratic Party:

✓ Amanda Howland - 67.1%
Robert Marshall - 32.9%


United States House of Representatives - District 7 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ No Candidate

Democratic Party:

✓ Danny Davis - 81.3%
Thomas Day - 18.7%


United States House of Representatives - District 8 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Pete DiCianni - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Raja Krishnamoorthi - 57.0%
Michael Noland - 29.1%
Deborah Bullwinkel - 13.9%


United States House of Representatives - District 9 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Joan McCarthy Lasonde - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Jan Schakowsky - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 10 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Robert Dold - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Brad Schneider - 53.8%
Nancy Rotering - 46.2%


United States House of Representatives - District 11 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Tonia Khouri - 37.0%
Nick Stella - 36.3%
Herman White - 26.7%

Democratic Party:

✓ Bill Foster - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 12 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Mike Bost - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ C.J. Baricevic - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 13 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Rodney Davis - 77.0%
Ethan Vandersand - 23.0%

Democratic Party:

✓ Mark Wicklund - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 14 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Randy Hultgren - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Jim Walz - 43.0%
John Hosta - 38.0%
Jesse Maggitt - 19.1%


United States House of Representatives - District 15 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ John Shimkus - 60.4%
Kyle McCarter - 39.6%

Democratic Party:

✓ No Candidate


United States House of Representatives - District 16 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Adam Kinzinger - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ No Candidate


United States House of Representatives - District 17 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Patrick Harlan - 75.7%
Jack Boccarossa - 24.3%

Democratic Party:

✓ Cheri Bustos - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 18 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Darin LaHood

Democratic Party:

✓ No Candidate

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I had it in my mind that the McCain-Ward primary was tonight.  Disappointed that we won't know for another 5 months!!

[This account no longer in use.]

So, here are the matchups of possible competitive races:

IL Sen: Mark Kirk (i), Tammy Duckworth, Chad Koppie, Chris Aguayo, Jim Brown
IL-10: Bob Dold (i), Brad Schneider
IL-12: Mike Bost (i), CJ Baricevic, Paula Bradshaw
IL-13: Rodney Davis (i), Mark Wicklund, David Gill

NC Sen: Richard Burr (i), Deborah Ross, Sean Haugh, Mohammad Nasiri

OH Sen: Rob Portman (i), Ted Strickland, Joe DeMare, Tom Connors, Scott Rupert
OH-14: Dave Joyce (i), Michael Wager

TX-23: Will Hurd (i), Pete Gallego, Ruben Corvalan

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

OH-14 and IL-13 are only competitive in a wave.

[Maxwell]

I'm a little disappointed that Rotering didn't pull an upset - as an election observer it's boring to see Schneider vs. Dold AGAIN.

[This account no longer in use.]

IL-13 has an even PVI, although you are correct in that only Cook rates it something other than Safe R. OH-14 is rated likely R by Sabato.

[/]

North Carolina - March 15/June 7

Official Election Results (North Carolina State Board of Elections)


United States Senate - Republican Primary



✓ Richard Burr - 61.39%
Greg Brannon - 25.18%
Paul Wright - 8.49%
Larry Holmquist - 4.94%

United States Senate - Democratic Primary



✓ Deborah K. Ross - 62.34%
Chris Rey - 16.51%
Kevin D. Griffin - 11.73%
Ernest T. Reeves - 9.42%


United States House of Representatives - Districts 1-13 Primaries

Primary elections for the United States House of Representatives in North Carolina will be held June 7.

[/]

✓ Ohio - March 15

Official Election Results (Politico)


United States Senate - Republican Primary



✓ Rob Portman - 82.2%%
Don Eckhart - 17.8%

United States Senate - Democratic Primary



✓ Ted Strickland - 65.0%
P.G. Sittenfield - 22.4%
Kelli Prather - 12.6%


United States House of Representatives - District 1 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Steve Chabot - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Michelle Young - 67.9%
Fred Kundrata - 20.7%
Jim Berns - 11.4%


United States House of Representatives - District 2 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Brad Wenstrup - 85.0%
Jim Lewis - 15.0%

Democratic Party:

✓ William Smith - 41.7%
Ronny Harrison Richards - 30.0%
Russ Hurley - 28.3%


United States House of Representatives - District 3 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ John Adams - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Joyce Beatty - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 4 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Jim Jordan - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Janet Garrett - 66.7%
Daniel Johnson - 25.4%
Norbert Dennerll, Jr. - 7.8%


United States House of Representatives - District 5 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Bob Latta - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ James Neu, Jr. - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 6 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Bill Johnson - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Michael Lorentz - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 7 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Bob Gibbs - 74.7%
Terry Robertson - 25.3%

Democratic Party:

✓ Roy Rich - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 8 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Warren Davidson - 32.3%
Timothy Derickson - 23.9%
Bill Beagle - 19.6%
Jim Spurlino - 7.2%
J.D. Winteregg - 4.0%
Scott George - 2.3%
Terri King - 2.2%
Kevin F. White - 1.8%
Michael Smith - 1.5%
Matthew Ashworth - 1.2%
John Robbins - 1.2%
Eric Haemmerle - 1.0%
George Wooley - 0.8%
Edward Meer - 0.5%
Joseph Matvey - 0.4%

Democratic Party:

✓ Corey Foister - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 9 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Donald Philip Larson - 44.3%
Steven Kraus - 36.0%
Joel Lieske - 19.7%

Democratic Party:

✓ Marcy Kaptur - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 10 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Michael Turner - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Robert Klepinger - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 11 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Beverly Goldstein - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Marcia Fudge - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 12 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Patrick Tiberi - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Ed Albertson - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 13 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Richard Morckel - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Tim Ryan - 89.3%
John Luchansky - 10.7%


United States House of Representatives - District 14 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ David Joyce - 64.5%
Matt Lynch - 35.5%

Democratic Party:

✓ Michael Wager - 66.7%
Alfred Mackey - 33.3%


United States House of Representatives - District 15 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Steve Stivers - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Scott Wharton - Unopposed


United States House of Representatives - District 16 Primary

Republican Party:

✓ Jim Renacci - Unopposed

Democratic Party:

✓ Keith Mundy - Unopposed

[/]

Candidate filing in Nevada closed on March 18, and a lot of people filed. It took me a while to find the official lists, but here they are (note that the State SoS manages CDs 2/4 and Clark County manages CDs 1/3):

https://nvsos.gov/index.aspx?page=1556 (Senate, CD-2, CD-4)
http://www.clarkcountynv.gov/election/Pages/CandidateFiling.aspx (CD-1, CD-3)

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That list took forever to compile. You're welcome

[Gass3268]

There are two Hecks on the ballot and Angle is going to be first on the ballot. Man I hope this this close.

[/]

There are two Hecks on the ballot and Angle is going to be first on the ballot. Man I hope this this close.

Yeah, so I guess Joe's signs can't just say "Heck" or "Heck for Senate" on them.

I do, however, wonder why the other guy goes by "SAD Tom."

[/]

Ohio is done, so we're all caught up

The NC filing deadline for House races is today; there are going to be a lot of candidates.

[/]

Maryland - April 26

Finalized List of Congressional Primary Candidates (Maryland State Board of Elections)

United States Senate - Republican Primary (14)

- Chris Chaffee
- Sean P. Connor
- Richard J. Douglas
- John R. Graziani
- Greg Holmes
- Joseph David Hooe
- Chrys Kefalas
- Mark McNicholas
- Lynn Richardson
- Anthony Seda
- Richard Shawver
- Kathy Szeliga
- Dave Wallace
- Garry Thomas Yarrington

United States Senate - Democratic Primary (10)

- Freddie Donald Dickson Jr.
- Donna F. Edwards
- Ralph Jaffe
- Theresa C. Scaldaferri
- Charles U. Smith
- Violet Staley
- Blaine Taylor
- Ed Tinus
- Chris Van Hollen
- Lih Young


United States House of Representatives - District 1 Primary

Republican Party (4)

- Jonathan Marvin Goff Jr.
- Andy Harris
- Sean M. Jackson
- Michael D. Smigiel Sr.

Democratic Party (2)

- Jim Ireton
- Joe Werner


United States House of Representatives - District 2 Primary

Republican Party (5)

- Bill Heine
- Carl H. Magee Jr.
- Pat McDonough
- Yuripzy Morgan
- Mark Gerard Shell

Democratic Party (1)

- C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger


United States House of Representatives - District 3 Primary

Republican Party(2)

- Thomas E. "Pinkston" Harris
- Mark Plaster

Democratic Party(3)

- John Rea
- John Sarbanes
- Matthew Molyett


United States House of Representatives - District 4 Primary

Republican Party (4)

- Robert "Bro" Broadus
- Rob Buck
- George E. McDermott
- David Therrien

Democratic Party (10)

- Anthony G. Brown
- Warren Christopher
- Matthew Fogg
- Glenn F. Ivey
- Joseline Peña-Melnyk
- Terence Strait
- Lisa R. Ransom
- Ingrid Turner
- Dereck E. Davis
- Alvin Thornton


United States House of Representatives - District 5 Primary

Republican Party (2)

- Mark Arness
- Charles Sam Faddis

Democratic Party (3)

- Kristin Beck
- Steny H. Hoyer
- Debbie F. Wilson


United States House of Representatives - District 6 Primary

Republican Party (8 )

- Terry L. Baker
- Scott Cheng
- Robin Ficker
- Amie Hoeber
- Frank Howard
- Christopher James Macon
- Harold Painter
- David E. Vogt III

Democratic Party (2)

- John K. Delaney
- Tony Puca


United States House of Representatives - District 7 Primary

Republican Party (3)

- Ray Bly
- William T. Newton
- Corrogan R. Vaughn

Democratic Party (2)

- Elijah Cummings
- Adrian Petrus


United States House of Representatives - District 8 Primary

Republican Party (5)

- Dan Cox
- Jeffrey W. Jones
- Liz Matory
- Aryeh Shudofsky
- Shelly Skolnick

Democratic Party (9)

- David M. Anderson
- Kumar P. Barve
- Dan Bolling
- Ana Sol Gutierrez
- William Jawando
- Kathleen Matthews
- Jamie Raskin
- Joel Rubin
- David Trone

[This account no longer in use.]

Only district that might be competitive is District 6. Baker and Vogt are the only ones to hold public office before, but Hoeber is doing pretty good donation-wise.

[/]

Our final House list in North Carolina:

District 1 - H. Powell Drew, Jr. (R), G. K. Butterfield (D), J.J. Summerell (L)
District 2 - George Holding (R), Greg Brannon (R), Renee Ellmers (R), Ron Sanyal (D), Steven E. Hight (D), John P. McNeil (D), Jane Watson (D), Elton R. Brewington
District 3 - Phil Law (R), Taylor Griffin (R), Walter B. Jones (R), David Allan Hurst (D), Ernest T. Reeves (D)
District 4 - Sue Googe (R), Teiji Kimball (R), David Price (D)
District 5 - Pattie Curran (R), Virginia Foxx (R), Jim Roberts (D), Charlie Wallin (D), Josh Brannon (D)
District 6 - B. Mark Walker (R), Chris Hardin (R), Pete Glidewell (D)
District 7 - David Rouzer (R), J. Wesley Casteen (D)
District 8 - Tim D'Annunzio (R), Richard Hudson (R), Thomas Mills (D)
District 9 - Robert Pittenger (R), Todd Johnson (R), Mark Harris (R), Christian Cano (D)
District 10 - Jeffrey Baker (R), Patrick McHenry (R), Jeff Gregory (R), Albert Lee Wiley, Jr. (R), Andy Miller (D)
District 11 - Mark Meadows (R), Tom Hill (D), Rick Bryson (D)
District 12 - Leon Threatt (R), Ryan Duffie (R), Paul Wright (R), Alma Adams (D), Carla D. Cunningham (D), Gardenia Henley (D), Malcolm R. Graham (D), Rick Miller (D), Rodney W. Moore (D), Tricia Cotham (D)
District 13 - Andrew C. Brock (R), Chad A. Grant (R), Dan Barrett (R), David W. Thompson (R), Farren K Shoaf (R), George Rouco (R), Hank Henning (R), Harry Warren (R), Jason A. Walser (R), Jim Snyder (R), John Blust (R), Julia Craven Howard (R), Kathy Feather (R), Matthew J. McCall (R), Mrs. Kay Daly (R), Ted Budd (R), Vernon Robinson (R), Adam Coker (D), Bob Isner (D), Bruce Davis (D), Kevin D. Griffin (D), Mazie Ferguson (D)

[/]

By the way, there aren't any House races going to the March 29th runoff in MS, so no need to worry about that. I suppose we have exactly one month left to wait until the next contests...

[nclib]

Great thread, but can you put a star next to incumbents?

[/]

Great thread, but can you put a star next to incumbents?

Good idea. I'm sort of busy at the moment, but I'll go back and do that tomorrow morning. It will probably actually help a lot.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Who is expected to win the CO GOP Primary?  Is it Jerry Eller?

[Heisenberg]

Who is expected to win the CO GOP Primary?  Is it Jerry Eller?

I'm not sure if anybody is expected to win.  The convention is Saturday, and apparently it will narrow the field, but the race hasn't been polled (to my knowledge) and the crowded field will likely hurt the GOP come the general election.
Also, has the Indiana Senate primary been polled? I'd like to see Young win, as he seems more electable, though I will support either him or Stutzman in the general.

[/]

Alabama runoff on the 12th, but nothing interesting.