Indeed, and it doesn't make the "We'll lose Virginia" prediction any more accurate than the "We'll win Pennsylvania" prediction. It's trading one extreme for the other extreme, and a very depressing ride in the meantime.
I am far from the last one to defend Phil, I argued with him as much as anyone regarding PA last year. However, he doesn't seem to be going from one extreme to another, he believes the GOP will win LA for one example.
He seems to have explained himself quite well on why he thnks the VA Senate Seat will go Democratic. He has stated he thinks the Dems will get Warner to run. Believing Mark Warner if he does run would win is not being extreme, its actually being realistic, not thinking Mark Warner would win or even thinking it would be a tossup if he ran is what extreme would be.